NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	8.1 [239]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +23.7%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	7.1 [199]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -15.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.18	0.00	10	65%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	5	83%	0.21	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.05
Tristan Thompson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.27,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.33,-0.32,-0.06	-0.22	0.16	-0.00	30	39%	0.25	8	-0.31	4	100%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	23	58%	0.24	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	21	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	27%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	9	17%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.3	35.6	16.4	28.6	3.5	42.8	154.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.1%

CLE +19.4%

CLE +3.1%

CHI -14.9%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.1	95.6	90.3	104.2
season	15.9	15.5		108.7	105.4
opponent	15.2	14.9		102.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	15.9	14.6	18.0	15.6
CHI	15.7	15.5	16.0	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	76	80	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.62	7	-5	12	15.9	13.9	2.09	15.3	19.2	-3.93
LeBron James	81	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	15.8	13.8	2.05	15.6	18.3	-2.75
Timofey Mozgov	73	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	-5	12	15.8	15.1	0.69	16.3	13.6	2.70
J.R. Smith	50	52	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	5	-8	15.4	15.9	-0.54	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Iman Shumpert	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-5	12	16.3	14.3	1.98	15.8	15.8	0.00
Tristan Thompson	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	2	-2	14.9	16.8	-1.90	16.3	15.1	1.18
Matthew Dellavedova	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	7	-12	13.8	16.6	-2.76	17.6	15.0	2.61
Kendrick Perkins	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	21.5	15.3	6.15	9.2	16.1	-6.90
James Jones	17	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	6	-10	15.2	15.7	-0.48	14.8	16.1	-1.27

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	34	34	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.03	8	-10	18	15.2	16.2	-0.97	16.8	14.9	1.88
Kirk Hinrich	15	11	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.10	2	-4	6	15.3	15.9	-0.62	14.5	15.8	-1.33
Aaron Brooks	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-1	0	18.6	15.4	3.14	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Joakim Noah	74	72	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-5	8	15.6	16.6	-0.98	15.2	17.5	-2.35
Taj Gibson	64	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-1	0	16.5	14.3	2.19	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Derrick Rose	81	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.48	-1	-1	0	15.4	18.6	-3.14	15.9	13.7	2.16
Jimmy Butler	87	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	4	-10	15.8	16.0	-0.16	15.8	13.4	2.35
Mike Dunleavy	65	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.54	-7	5	-12	15.6	16.4	-0.78	15.8	15.2	0.66
Tony Snell	33	30	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.57	-7	5	-12	16.3	15.6	0.75	15.7	15.6	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.29,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.1%
BOS 86, NJN 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0	91.2%
MIA 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	90.7%