NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	81		Excitement	10.4 [64]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +77.1%
Atlanta Hawks	82		Comeback	15.4 [157]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -45.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.33	0.03	0.30	-0.00	9	55%	0.56	1	-0.22	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.01	10	67%	0.21	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	11	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	21	49%	0.03	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	0.00	13	29%	-0.09	3	-0.14	5	60%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.45	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.45	-0.13	-0.31	0.01	16	44%	-0.20	6	-0.25	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.77	0.77	0.11	0.67	0.01	18	61%	0.77	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.15	0.02	11	42%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	13	54%	0.03	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	14	45%	-0.01	6	-0.19	3	67%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.12,-0.18,-0.38	-0.38	-0.17	-0.22	-0.00	12	25%	-0.25	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	30.3	17.7	28.6	2.8	50.3	157.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.1%

WAS -6.1%

ATL +11.7%

WAS -1.3%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.1	15.1	80.2	82.0	104.2
season	15.1	14.9		102.9	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	13.9	15.0	14.2	14.6
ATL	14.3	15.4	11.8	15.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	33	33	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.08	7	-8	15	15.2	14.2	0.98	16.3	13.0	3.33
Drew Gooden	24	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	3	-7	15.0	14.4	0.53	13.0	14.5	-1.49
Marcin Gortat	77	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	7	-15	14.6	14.4	0.18	13.1	17.5	-4.44
Paul Pierce	75	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-6	11	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.3	13.4	0.90
Otto Porter	69	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.54	6	-7	13	14.2	15.2	-0.97	14.7	12.9	1.78
Bradley Beal	87	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	0	-1	14.3	16.4	-2.09	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Nene	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	1	-3	14.9	14.0	0.88	15.0	12.9	2.05
John Wall	82	80	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.63	-8	7	-15	14.6	14.4	0.23	13.3	17.4	-4.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	50	51	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.67	5	-4	9	13.7	14.5	-0.76	15.1	14.0	1.02
Paul Millsap	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-2	5	13.9	14.8	-0.94	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Al Horford	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	0	1	13.6	16.0	-2.34	14.6	14.4	0.24
Kyle Korver	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-2	5	13.7	15.7	-1.98	14.6	14.5	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.59	-5	6	-11	14.2	13.7	0.52	14.1	16.2	-2.11
Kent Bazemore	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-8	17	14.1	14.1	0.05	15.1	14.3	0.72
Pero Antic	13	15	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-6	13	13.1	14.3	-1.18	15.6	14.4	1.23
Mike Muscala	31	30	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.07	-9	10	-19	16.3	13.1	3.22	14.8	14.5	0.30
Jeff Teague	63	64	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.30	-9	10	-19	14.7	13.1	1.62	14.5	14.6	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.44,0.64,0.78,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, IND 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.92,1	89.4%
LAC 110, WAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.84,1,1	89.2%
PHX 95, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.55,0.94,0.98,1	88.9%