inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement5.6 [546] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +43.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 109 Comeback1.7 [625] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -15.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.000.00685%0.121-0.031100%0.00
Gary Neal0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.030.02573%0.0800.001100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0.070,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.070.140.010.088106%0.142-0.0700%0.00
Boris Diaw0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011155%0.0500.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011751%0.0500.00743%-0.06
Manu Ginobili0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.02-0.03776%0.186-0.143100%0.02
Patty Mills0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0010%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Danny Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.010.04939%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.011537%-0.071-0.032100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.440.440.270.210.032073%0.471-0.039100%0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.230.080.0111100%0.331-0.034100%0.03
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.02975%0.123-0.05250%-0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00580%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.020.011339%-0.043-0.08250%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.03-0.001029%-0.073-0.08425%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.730.017.827.23.638.1147.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +38.6%
OKC +3.8%
OKC +9.5%
SAS -5.5%
OKC +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game15.615.615.6110.8118.5102.8
season15.314.7109.1107.9
opponent15.815.2101.9101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.918.713.815.415.6
OKC13.916.417.015.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeJuan Blair19190.10-0.600.71-0.076-121813.216.2-2.9817.914.93.02
Danny Green37370.02-0.520.55-0.187-132017.314.52.8115.815.40.43
Patty Mills110.00-0.500.50-0.093-9126.015.7-9.680.015.7-15.73
Tiago Splitter1210-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-4219.115.14.0214.215.7-1.52
Stephen Jackson4343-0.05-0.450.40-0.205-111614.816.2-1.3815.515.6-0.04
Matt Bonner66-0.19-0.310.110.04-82-1013.715.7-2.057.016.2-9.15
Tony Parker7370-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.280-6615.814.71.1216.213.42.82
Tim Duncan6566-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-3-3015.815.10.7316.313.72.65
Gary Neal2931-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.11-82-1016.015.40.6614.815.9-1.08
Manu Ginobili5150-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-104-1414.117.4-3.2415.016.2-1.21
Boris Diaw6363-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.16-82-1016.114.41.7415.715.20.56
Kawhi Leonard6664-0.580.08-0.66-0.23-126-1815.416.0-0.6415.116.7-1.62

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden64650.57-0.070.650.2212-61814.617.7-3.0515.216.6-1.42
Serge Ibaka72730.480.020.460.3060617.29.77.4816.910.86.03
Kevin Durant86870.370.130.250.3415-415.220.2-4.9314.826.3-11.49
Kendrick Perkins61600.320.180.140.2333016.513.62.9315.915.10.81
Derek Fisher32330.310.190.110.1651414.216.3-2.1014.816.0-1.13
Nick Collison38400.220.28-0.05-0.018-21014.316.5-2.2015.115.9-0.80
Thabo Sefolosha42410.110.39-0.270.1106-615.615.50.0816.414.91.45
Russell Westbrook65660.110.39-0.280.26-511-1615.615.50.0515.416.0-0.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.92,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 83, TOR 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.97,194.4%
NOH 87, BOS 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.98,1,193.6%
NYK 92, SAS 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,193.4%