NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	4.1 [790]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): +13.9%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.1 [975]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -8.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	15	58%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	52%	0.03	3	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Sam Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Louis Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	45%	-0.02	2	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.02	18	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.00	0.03	7	95%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	14	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	2	12%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	23	48%	0.05	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	29.3	19.7	35.0	2.6	36.4	149.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.5%

CHI +1.6%

CHI +14.4%

PHI -15.1%

CHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.6	94.8	107.3	102.8
season	15.6	16.0		101.0	104.7
opponent	15.9	16.1		97.0	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	14.0	15.2	14.7	14.9
CHI	15.3	12.7	16.9	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	17.5	14.9	2.64	11.7	15.2	-3.53
Louis Williams	55	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-18	24	14.1	16.0	-1.81	15.1	15.0	0.15
Jodie Meeks	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-6	0	15.7	14.7	1.05	15.1	15.1	0.02
Thaddeus Young	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-10	8	14.0	16.0	-2.04	15.3	14.9	0.41
Evan Turner	60	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-7	2	15.4	14.2	1.20	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Spencer Hawes	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.10	-3	-9	6	14.0	15.4	-1.35	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Lavoy Allen	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-6	0	15.8	14.3	1.47	14.8	15.3	-0.44
Andre Iguodala	80	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-8	4	14.7	16.1	-1.37	15.3	14.0	1.33
Elton Brand	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	1	-14	15.5	13.3	2.20	15.2	14.8	0.37
Jrue Holiday	71	73	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.01	-25	13	-38	15.1	14.4	0.64	15.1	15.2	-0.12

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	53	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	-3	18	14.7	15.6	-0.90	15.6	14.1	1.57
Carlos Boozer	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	0	12	14.7	15.5	-0.85	16.1	13.5	2.57
Derrick Rose	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	6	0	15.2	14.7	0.51	15.2	14.1	1.09
Joakim Noah	72	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	6	0	14.7	16.1	-1.33	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Kyle Korver	49	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	4	4	14.4	15.7	-1.30	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Luol Deng	76	78	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	9	-6	15.8	12.5	3.26	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Taj Gibson	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	11	-10	15.5	14.8	0.65	14.0	15.5	-1.56
CJ Watson	23	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	6	0	14.7	15.2	-0.51	13.6	15.4	-1.78
Ronnie Brewer	26	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	11	-10	15.2	15.0	0.20	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Omer Asik	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	10	-8	16.6	14.7	1.81	15.6	14.8	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 64, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NYK 86, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%