inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 131 Excitement17.7 [1] MVPDana Barros (BOS): +43.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies 129 Comeback21.9 [29] LVPMike Bibby (VAN): -59.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dana Barros0.430,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.430.020.41-0.01757%0.471-0.0400%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.290.010.28-0.00478%0.332-0.051100%0.05
Marlon Garnett0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Riley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00267%0.021-0.032100%0.02
Bruce Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.04-0.01567%0.041-0.062100%0.02
Popeye Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Greg Minor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.31,-0.31,-0.37,-0.37,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.002446%-0.012-0.101145%-0.04
Ron Mercer-0.260,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.04-0.220.002055%-0.114-0.15978%-0.01
Kenny Anderson-0.280,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.28-0.03-0.26-0.001650%-0.221-0.06875%-0.04
Paul Pierce-0.320,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.49,-0.43,-0.37,-0.44,-0.44,-0.36,-0.32-0.08-0.24-0.012150%-0.034-0.281070%0.04

Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.010.26-0.001650%0.2700.008100%0.12
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.09,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.18,0.110.11-0.000.10-0.012565%0.838-0.721090%0.07
Tony Massenburg0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.04-0.01950%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Bryant Reeves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.04-0.02773%0.142-0.141292%0.06
Felipe Lopez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.01450%0.073-0.1100%0.00
DeJuan Wheat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00125%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Doug West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00550%0.003-0.082100%0.02
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.00650%0.012-0.12250%-0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.28,-0.59-0.59-0.10-0.480.011457%0.016-0.601292%0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2 OT3Total
this game26.22.329.615.733.02.041.01.523.21.524.11.527.0228.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.71.718.81.718.81.718.8163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
VAN -58.1%
VAN -20.2%
BOS +8.2%
BOS +133.5%
VAN -13.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSVANNBABOSVANNBA
this game14.116.315.8104.8104.099.6
season15.016.498.195.7
opponent15.115.8105.4100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS16.713.811.714.514.414.1
VAN16.816.216.018.211.816.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew DeClercq51470.99-0.491.470.787-51213.014.9-1.8516.116.4-0.31
Tony Battie55530.92-0.421.330.833-1413.814.3-0.5216.815.81.00
Bruce Bowen51460.82-0.321.140.8202-214.314.00.3417.215.71.56
Paul Pierce96950.81-0.311.120.5210-81814.313.60.6816.415.70.79
Dana Barros39390.66-0.160.820.6020213.914.2-0.2415.016.8-1.84
Popeye Jones28270.010.49-0.48-0.145-3812.114.7-2.5813.017.2-4.12
Marlon Garnett55-0.050.55-0.600.01-24-613.014.2-1.1620.616.14.52
Kenny Anderson8788-0.110.61-0.73-0.203-1414.214.00.1616.416.00.36
Greg Minor76-0.140.64-0.79-0.06-35-811.314.3-2.9914.216.4-2.20
Antoine Walker9194-0.360.86-1.22-0.24-46-1015.510.54.9217.113.63.55
Ron Mercer9196-0.440.94-1.38-0.41-13-414.114.1-0.0115.518.8-3.31
Eric Riley2424-0.601.10-1.69-0.30-1012-2214.514.00.4317.316.01.28

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryant Reeves66670.60-1.101.700.513-5816.615.90.7114.313.90.34
DeJuan Wheat17180.34-0.841.190.311-3419.815.74.0613.314.2-0.91
Doug West44440.02-0.520.540.020-2215.516.6-1.1013.514.4-0.94
Felipe Lopez660.01-0.510.530.010-2218.516.12.3615.514.01.46
Michael Smith8486-0.23-0.270.03-0.354-61017.014.82.1914.513.31.21
Cherokee Parks3031-0.520.02-0.55-0.23-108-1816.116.3-0.2112.414.7-2.25
Mike Bibby108108-0.550.05-0.59-0.49-20-215.620.5-4.8714.213.40.81
Tony Massenburg5658-0.650.15-0.79-0.681-3416.416.10.3113.914.3-0.34
Sam Mack8586-0.650.15-0.80-0.59-20-216.515.80.6814.413.41.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim112110-0.880.38-1.25-0.73-53-816.018.3-2.3014.213.40.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.43,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.14,0.05,0.16,0.28,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.68,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.91,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 120, WAS 1160.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.23,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.16,085.3%
LAC 120, MEM 1250.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.84,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.22,0.42,184.9%
HOU 113, SAC 1090.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.95,0.46,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.01,084.9%