NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	7.6 [312]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +26.3%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	3.9 [146]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -22.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.01	15	76%	0.28	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Chris Childs	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	78%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Allan Houston	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	49%	0.02	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.05
Charlie Ward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.09	0.05	7	85%	0.06	4	-0.17	6	83%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	20	68%	0.23	2	-0.10	7	71%	0.02
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	65%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.06
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	22	52%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	6	7%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.17	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	5	-0.29	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	1.8	30.1	15.7	26.7	2.0	44.3	151.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.4%

ATL -5.0%

NYK +15.3%

NYK +11.0%

ATL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	109.7	106.6	104.4
season	15.1	16.4		102.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		100.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	12.6	14.1	15.4	14.6
ATL	16.4	18.2	18.0	14.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	69	67	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-6	17	14.4	15.2	-0.85	16.4	17.8	-1.48
John Starks	54	52	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-8	21	13.0	16.7	-3.73	16.2	17.5	-1.29
Patrick Ewing	80	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.43	6	-1	7	14.5	14.8	-0.22	16.6	17.8	-1.19
Buck Williams	35	34	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	13.7	15.1	-1.39	17.9	16.1	1.86
Larry Johnson	81	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	15.0	11.7	3.25	16.7	16.7	-0.00
Allan Houston	57	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	6	-7	14.9	14.0	0.95	17.2	16.0	1.24
Charles Oakley	68	68	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	5	-5	15.6	11.8	3.80	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Charlie Ward	21	20	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.03	-10	15	-25	15.0	14.5	0.48	16.9	16.7	0.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	12	14	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-10	15	18.8	16.4	2.40	11.9	15.1	-3.21
Henry James	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-9	13	17.4	16.6	0.80	11.9	15.2	-3.27
Priest Lauderdale	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	6.0	17.1	-11.11	3.0	15.1	-12.10
Ivano Newbill	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	16.6	16.8	-0.24	10.8	15.6	-4.76
Darrin Hancock	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-4	3	17.3	16.7	0.65	11.1	15.0	-3.90
Christian Laettner	69	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-7	9	17.1	15.5	1.64	15.8	11.1	4.71
Alan Henderson	22	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	2	-9	15.5	17.1	-1.64	11.1	15.8	-4.71
Dikembe Mutombo	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	0	-5	17.4	14.6	2.78	16.5	9.0	7.47
Mookie Blaylock	85	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	16.4	21.7	-5.27	14.8	11.9	2.95
Tyrone Corbin	66	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	5	-15	16.6	17.2	-0.68	15.6	12.0	3.58
Steven Smith	84	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	7	-19	16.6	18.3	-1.67	14.8	12.1	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0	92.3%
HOU 90, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.04,0	90.9%
DAL 102, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.44,0.08,0	90.4%