inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 117 Excitement4.1 [976] MVPBuddy Hield (ATL): +14.7%
Miami Heat 143 Comeback1.0 [1186] LVPTyler Herro (MIA): -11.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.260.000.121886%0.151-0.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert0.130,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.010.021278%0.172-0.04367%-0.00
Asa Newell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.011357%0.042-0.00450%0.00
Keshon Gilbert0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00858%0.032-0.023100%0.00
Zaccharie Risacher-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.02869%0.043-0.0600%0.00
RayJ Dennis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.021050%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Tony Bradley-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.01633%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Christian Koloko-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03529%-0.053-0.05450%-0.02
Keaton Wallace-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.021327%-0.101-0.01475%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.010.031862%0.1400.00450%-0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.200.000.091772%0.1200.00250%-0.00
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.020.016100%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.140.000.051762%0.0900.006100%0.02
Keshad Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.090.000.00875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.010.03980%0.081-0.0020%-0.02
Kasparas Jakučionis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.053133%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Myron Gardner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vladislav Goldin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Jahmir Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trevor Keels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.01920%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.01928%-0.043-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.80.824.30.023.40.025.00.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.7%
MIA +5.4%
MIA +2.0%
MIA +12.5%
MIA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game14.213.214.2111.4136.2113.5
season13.412.9113.4114.9
opponent14.514.5112.7112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.015.214.312.514.2
MIA10.714.215.113.213.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Bradley5049-0.32-0.18-0.140.21-18-8-1015.313.22.0412.114.1-1.95
Asa Newell101102-0.48-0.02-0.450.26-25-1-2414.214.7-0.5812.921.7-8.74
Keshon Gilbert101102-0.48-0.02-0.450.26-25-1-2414.214.7-0.5812.921.7-8.74
Zaccharie Risacher6867-0.49-0.01-0.490.01-17-9-815.212.42.7613.712.21.56
Buddy Hield9293-0.50-0.00-0.500.03-18-8-1014.710.83.8213.411.61.80
Corey Kispert7475-0.530.03-0.560.14-23-3-2015.012.22.7913.113.4-0.35
RayJ Dennis9090-0.590.09-0.680.40-348-4214.015.2-1.1812.715.9-3.13
Keaton Wallace8384-0.600.10-0.710.37-337-4014.612.71.9112.914.5-1.62
Christian Koloko9596-0.630.13-0.750.40-359-4414.313.30.9812.718.3-5.64

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keshad Johnson83820.63-0.130.76-0.4236-104612.814.6-1.8414.513.11.36
Norman Powell89880.60-0.100.69-0.112422213.113.7-0.6014.711.53.18
Bam Adebayo84820.58-0.080.67-0.152512412.814.6-1.8015.110.84.31
Kel'el Ware87860.57-0.070.65-0.042151613.312.50.8214.811.63.12
Kasparas Jakučionis83830.54-0.040.59-0.102241813.113.5-0.4014.313.80.47
Jaime Jaquez Jr.90900.500.000.50-0.122151613.213.10.1314.910.14.73
Davion Mitchell66650.470.030.450.001610613.213.2-0.0815.112.72.33
Tyler Herro64640.470.030.440.001610613.412.90.5015.212.62.55
Andrew Wiggins64640.470.030.44-0.001610613.412.90.5015.212.62.55
Myron Gardner28280.040.46-0.42-0.281115-413.213.20.0912.514.8-2.35
Vladislav Goldin28280.040.46-0.42-0.281115-413.213.20.0912.514.8-2.35
Jahmir Young28280.040.46-0.42-0.281115-413.213.20.0912.514.8-2.35
Trevor Keels28280.040.46-0.42-0.281115-413.213.20.0912.514.8-2.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 81, ORL 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
MIN 86, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
MEM 76, ATL 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%