NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	6.6 [516]		MVP	Payton Pritchard (BOS): +23.1%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	3.5 [591]		LVP	Derrick White (BOS): -15.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0.13	0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.11	-0.00	-0.02	21	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.03	20	49%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	13	61%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Jonathan Kuminga	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.01	23	72%	0.38	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	92%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.08	0.02	24	45%	0.10	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00
Hugo González	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	13	32%	-0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.5	26.2	14.2	29.1	1.6	33.8	132.6
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.5%

BOS +4.5%

BOS +47.7%

ATL -36.2%

BOS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	17.2	14.2	112.1	118.5	113.5
season	13.4	15.5		113.4	118.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		110.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	14.1	14.4	15.8	14.3
BOS	15.1	15.9	17.6	20.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Kispert	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.2	17.5	-2.37
Mouhamed Gueye	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	14.0	15.0	-1.03	16.0	20.9	-4.89
Onyeka Okongwu	81	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-12	17	14.3	13.9	0.40	17.5	14.3	3.16
Jalen Johnson	78	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-10	13	14.3	14.2	0.03	17.6	14.7	2.90
Dyson Daniels	81	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	14.6	11.7	2.87	17.0	18.6	-1.58
Gabe Vincent	54	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	14.5	13.9	0.56	17.0	17.5	-0.52
Jonathan Kuminga	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	3	-13	13.8	15.3	-1.54	16.2	19.2	-3.04
CJ McCollum	90	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	14.4	0.0	14.41	17.2	0.0	17.18
Zaccharie Risacher	64	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	7	-21	14.2	14.3	-0.11	16.2	19.3	-3.15
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	91	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.3	0.0	14.25	17.2	0.0	17.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Neemias Queta	68	67	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-3	13	17.3	17.0	0.31	14.8	12.8	1.93
Jordan Walsh	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	17.2	17.0	0.19	14.3	0.0	14.25
Payton Pritchard	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	17.2	17.0	0.19	14.3	0.0	14.25
Jayson Tatum	89	88	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	5	-3	17.4	9.7	7.77	14.4	9.7	4.74
Luka Garza	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-4	15	16.0	19.3	-3.30	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Baylor Scheierman	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	5	-3	17.2	17.3	-0.15	14.5	13.2	1.32
Sam Hauser	68	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	7	-7	17.4	16.6	0.76	14.7	12.9	1.81
Derrick White	85	84	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	8	-9	17.6	12.3	5.30	14.4	12.6	1.82
Hugo González	41	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	15.9	18.2	-2.31	14.0	14.5	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.9%
MEM 78, DEN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	92.8%
UTA 94, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	92.5%