inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 125 Excitement3.9 [1009] MVPStephon Castle (SAS): +25.4%
San Antonio Spurs 138 Comeback1.3 [1090] LVPNaji Marshall (DAL): -5.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.02-0.041461%0.182-0.053100%0.01
Brandon Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.000.051275%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Cooper Flagg0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.02-0.021254%0.082-0.042100%0.02
Daniel Gafford0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.02564%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Max Christie0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.12-0.010.111171%0.0100.002100%0.00
Tyus Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%-0.0000.00250%0.00
AJ Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Washington-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.041050%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marvin Bagley III-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.041446%-0.0200.00743%-0.05
Caleb Martin-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.041055%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Naji Marshall-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.01830%-0.061-0.004100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephon Castle0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.250.020.021983%0.316-0.051070%-0.02
Carter Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.03-0.051150%0.1000.0000%0.00
Devin Vassell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.01-0.041553%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.031450%0.0600.00475%-0.00
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.012125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dylan Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03869%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.010.04664%0.0200.0020%-0.00
Jeremy Sochan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.000.031358%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.01567%0.024-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.31.430.70.032.00.026.90.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +46.7%
SAS +1.0%
SAS +9.2%
DAL -7.7%
SAS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game14.511.614.2112.6126.6113.5
season13.913.8109.5117.4
opponent14.613.9108.9114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.913.615.314.514.5
SAS10.610.410.415.511.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Powell2424-0.01-0.490.49-0.3010-233314.514.6-0.1015.510.55.07
AJ Johnson2424-0.01-0.490.49-0.3010-233314.514.6-0.1015.510.55.07
Tyus Jones6868-0.02-0.480.45-0.237-202714.115.3-1.2112.79.82.86
Daniel Gafford5050-0.07-0.430.360.16-8-5-315.513.81.7510.912.1-1.20
P.J. Washington9594-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.00-12-1-1114.216.4-2.2211.512.1-0.63
Brandon Williams9795-0.35-0.15-0.210.03-130-1314.415.5-1.1011.810.21.58
Max Christie8180-0.39-0.11-0.290.10-174-2114.814.00.7911.312.3-0.94
Klay Thompson9493-0.44-0.06-0.370.00-152-1714.614.10.5711.114.6-3.56
Cooper Flagg7170-0.46-0.04-0.410.33-2714-4114.814.10.7310.014.4-4.36
Caleb Martin8685-0.47-0.03-0.440.03-174-2114.813.61.2710.914.1-3.20
Naji Marshall9189-0.49-0.01-0.490.09-207-2714.813.21.5710.715.7-5.04
Marvin Bagley III105103-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.06-152-1714.810.24.6211.316.5-5.20

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
De'Aaron Fox1021040.500.000.50-0.0619-62511.019.4-8.3814.712.71.95
Victor Wembanyama96970.500.000.49-0.0017-42110.817.4-6.5814.713.70.95
Devin Vassell85870.490.010.49-0.1221-82911.113.3-2.2414.813.61.22
Dylan Harper98990.490.010.48-0.1020-72711.016.5-5.4114.911.43.50
Stephon Castle86860.460.040.43-0.1521-82910.814.6-3.8314.713.90.85
Luke Kornet83830.350.150.19-0.011211111.711.30.4214.514.6-0.09
Carter Bryant79790.290.210.080.1749-512.39.82.4714.414.9-0.56
Keldon Johnson70710.210.29-0.080.0367-110.912.7-1.8014.814.10.73
Harrison Barnes83840.100.40-0.300.07112-1111.512.0-0.4914.315.4-1.10
Julian Champagnie37380.070.43-0.36-0.0758-310.212.3-2.0814.114.8-0.70
Jeremy Sochan24240.010.49-0.490.30-1023-3315.510.55.0714.514.6-0.10
Kelly Olynyk24240.010.49-0.490.30-1023-3315.510.55.0714.514.6-0.10
Jordan McLaughlin24240.010.49-0.490.30-1023-3315.510.55.0714.514.6-0.10
Bismack Biyombo24240.010.49-0.490.30-1023-3315.510.55.0714.514.6-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 108, BOS 1350.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
LAL 79, IND 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
PHI 98, HOU 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%