inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 104 Excitement7.8 [368] MVPJaylen Brown (BOS): +33.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 102 Comeback1.4 [944] LVPNickeil Alexander-Walker (MIN): -10.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0.330,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.150.190.012462%0.392-0.05875%0.01
Al Horford0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.07-0.00869%0.1500.0000%0.00
Derrick White0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.01856%0.0700.0000%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.00955%0.0400.00475%0.00
Blake Griffin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03-0.050.06-0.011646%0.102-0.071687%0.07
Marcus Smart0.000,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0-0.090.07-0.021235%0.103-0.10250%-0.03
Sam Hauser-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Grant Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gobert0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.01865%0.121-0.02743%-0.05
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.01962%0.153-0.096100%0.04
Anthony Edwards0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.030.030.10-0.08-0.012062%0.103-0.07560%-0.05
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.04-0.00350%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.011452%0.072-0.081100%0.01
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.040.011254%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.030.04747%-0.051-0.031100%0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.0150%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.327.615.430.51.838.8140.0
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +25.6%
BOS +20.2%
BOS +0.6%
BOS +7.4%
MIN -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMINNBABOSMINNBA
this game16.213.914.4110.6104.1113.4
season14.514.1116.3112.4
opponent14.314.6112.7110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.316.915.516.016.2
MIN13.214.413.314.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylen Brown71740.55-0.050.590.463-1415.717.5-1.7914.611.62.98
Al Horford60640.490.010.470.403-1415.816.9-1.0715.411.14.27
Derrick White49530.460.040.430.1411-92015.217.2-2.0213.913.90.02
Marcus Smart69690.460.040.410.315-3816.116.5-0.4214.412.71.64
Jayson Tatum71740.270.230.040.36-35-816.415.60.7414.212.81.38
Grant Williams52560.240.26-0.020.36-46-1016.415.90.5212.515.7-3.17
Blake Griffin34330.030.47-0.430.06-13-416.915.81.0711.415.1-3.70
Sam Hauser450.020.48-0.45-0.0320219.016.02.9610.014.1-4.09
Malcolm Brogdon6062-0.020.52-0.540.16-68-1417.014.72.2913.414.7-1.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan McLaughlin4139-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-1011.915.3-3.4815.916.4-0.51
Nickeil Alexander-Walker3736-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-5811.215.5-4.2315.216.7-1.49
Naz Reid4442-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-2211.515.8-4.3615.716.6-0.87
Anthony Edwards7570-0.19-0.310.13-0.366-81414.811.03.8217.013.83.14
Taurean Prince4543-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-86-1411.515.9-4.3815.616.7-1.13
Rudy Gobert5553-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.330-2215.611.73.8416.216.10.17
Jaden McDaniels6564-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.34-20-214.911.92.9716.515.60.89
Mike Conley5755-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.42-1-1015.311.93.4816.415.90.51
Kyle Anderson7168-0.580.08-0.66-0.37-75-1215.110.74.3316.216.10.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 101, PHX 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.02,092.5%
BKN 107, MIL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,092.2%
PHX 99, NOH 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,092.1%