inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 113 Excitement8.9 [187] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +50.6%
Denver Nuggets 118 Comeback14.8 [175] LVPScottie Barnes (TOR): -16.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.08-0.02972%0.1900.0000%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.040.00490%0.1200.002100%0.02
Fred VanVleet0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.110.030.09-0.001266%0.275-0.168100%0.11
Jakob Poeltl0.100,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.10.050.050.011364%0.172-0.0720%-0.05
O.G. Anunoby0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.090.060.02-0.01767%0.121-0.03475%0.00
Will Barton0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.05-0.00550%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Chris Boucher0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03633%0.0100.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.011850%0.043-0.082100%0.01
Scottie Barnes-0.170,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17-0.05-0.11-0.001246%-0.093-0.082100%0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.26,0.510.510.190.350.031483%0.531-0.021100%0.25
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0.09,0.260.260.050.230.01877%0.424-0.156100%0.16
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.150.150.110.03-0.011177%0.192-0.03450%-0.03
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.140.140.090.070.011263%0.1400.00683%0.05
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.011159%0.162-0.0700%0.00
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00475%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.011030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.02-0.041328%-0.012-0.09683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.424.514.623.61.741.3133.3
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +10.9%
DEN +44.2%
DEN +10.0%
TOR -0.5%
TOR -14.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game14.814.014.4114.1116.8113.4
season14.714.7114.0116.6
opponent14.514.5112.3112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR12.016.016.314.814.8
DEN16.712.815.011.914.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Precious Achiuwa42420.33-0.831.160.166-111713.515.7-2.1814.513.70.81
Will Barton23220.12-0.620.740.033-81114.714.8-0.1614.114.00.08
Gary Trent Jr.52520.11-0.610.720.20-3-2-114.015.6-1.6413.614.4-0.81
Chris Boucher33340.06-0.560.620.09-1-4313.215.6-2.3913.814.1-0.31
Pascal Siakam7375-0.600.10-0.69-0.54-2-3115.213.61.6314.114.00.09
Jakob Poeltl6566-0.600.10-0.71-0.49-4-1-315.513.51.9913.814.4-0.57
Fred VanVleet7174-0.630.13-0.76-0.42-72-914.715.1-0.4114.014.2-0.26
O.G. Anunoby6971-0.640.14-0.77-0.52-4-1-315.313.51.7914.014.2-0.19
Scottie Barnes6769-0.660.16-0.82-0.28-138-2115.413.42.0314.413.21.23

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gordon60580.85-0.351.190.4613-82114.113.90.3015.913.22.62
Michael Porter Jr.65630.73-0.230.960.537-2914.313.50.8215.613.32.36
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope77740.68-0.180.860.458-31113.615.4-1.7614.515.6-1.15
Nikola Jokic74720.65-0.150.790.447-2914.213.70.5015.313.31.99
Jamal Murray67660.56-0.060.620.4441314.113.80.3115.613.22.39
Reggie Jackson5050-0.090.59-0.68-0.2141314.014.1-0.1414.215.4-1.25
Thomas Bryant2727-0.150.65-0.79-0.09-27-913.714.2-0.5013.315.3-1.99
Jeff Green4141-0.350.85-1.19-0.11-813-2113.914.1-0.3013.215.9-2.62
Bruce Brown4444-0.380.88-1.27-0.15-813-2114.213.90.3913.515.8-2.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 95, MIN 970.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.17,191.2%
NYK 104, BOS 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.27,191.2%
TOR 109, MIN 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.37,191.0%