NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	8.8 [160]		MVP	Payton Pritchard (BOS): +21.7%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	13.5 [100]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -26.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	14	84%	0.32	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0.19	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	13	69%	0.23	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.19	0.09	0.12	0.02	27	60%	0.42	5	-0.24	14	86%	0.06
Danny Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.14,0.13	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	8	44%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.04
Matisse Thybulle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Henry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	9	78%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	68%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	22	56%	0.26	3	-0.21	10	90%	0.04
Enes Freedom	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	68%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.06
Bruno Fernando	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.13	0.00	14	46%	-0.09	6	-0.17	9	78%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.7	14.5	30.4	1.8	43.0	142.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.8%

PHI +13.4%

BOS -25.6%

PHI +10.2%

PHI +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.5	106.9	102.0	110.8
season	15.2	14.9		112.4	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		105.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	16.2	15.3	13.1	14.4
BOS	15.2	13.2	15.3	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	85	84	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-9	23	13.9	17.0	-3.13	14.2	14.0	0.18
Danny Green	86	85	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-6	17	13.7	18.2	-4.50	14.2	14.1	0.03
Tobias Harris	86	87	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	2	1	14.4	14.1	0.35	14.0	14.8	-0.74
Joel Embiid	87	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	1	3	14.1	16.2	-2.15	14.0	14.8	-0.77
Isaiah Joe	55	56	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.38	2	3	-1	14.6	14.0	0.59	13.6	14.8	-1.13
Charles Bassey	14	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	4	-3	16.2	14.1	2.15	14.8	14.0	0.77
Aaron Henry	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	18.0	14.1	3.90	16.9	13.9	2.96
Matisse Thybulle	69	67	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	7	-9	14.6	14.0	0.58	14.4	13.7	0.67
Myles Powell	16	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	14	-23	17.0	13.9	3.13	14.0	14.2	-0.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	23	24	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-9	13	14.2	14.1	0.09	15.2	14.1	1.10
Payton Pritchard	47	46	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-7	9	13.5	14.7	-1.19	14.5	14.2	0.29
Dennis Schroder	52	52	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.07	2	-7	9	14.4	13.8	0.61	14.6	14.1	0.47
Bruno Fernando	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	15.9	13.9	2.04	15.9	14.1	1.79
Romeo Langford	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	15.0	13.3	1.64	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Enes Freedom	86	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	14.0	14.8	-0.77	14.1	16.2	-2.15
Jayson Tatum	83	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	0	-5	13.7	16.0	-2.25	14.6	13.3	1.32
Marcus Smart	75	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	5	-15	14.2	14.1	0.10	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Jaylen Brown	75	74	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.55	-8	3	-11	14.0	14.5	-0.53	13.9	15.7	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.72,0.55,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0	92.1%
CHA 110, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.67,0.42,0	91.6%
MEM 104, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.27,0	91.4%