inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 128 Excitement9.8 [76] MVPDerrick White (SAS): +44.9%
Utah Jazz 126 Comeback9.7 [40] LVPJoe Ingles (UTA): -13.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick White0.450,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.450.100.34-0.001561%0.4500.006100%0.07
Lonnie Walker IV0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.340.110.250.011563%0.3400.0000%0.00
Keldon Johnson0.320,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.210.110.001389%0.341-0.0210%-0.02
Jakob Poeltl0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.110.040.06-0.011258%0.121-0.0000%0.00
Devin Vassell0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.001065%0.0900.0000%0.00
Tre Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jock Landale0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0.010,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01-0.060.070.001642%0.052-0.04650%-0.05
Bryn Forbes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Doug McDermott-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.040.011052%0.021-0.051100%0.00
Drew Eubanks-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.01430%-0.022-0.06250%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.4,0.320.320.070.24-0.012354%0.372-0.054100%0.06
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.28,0.13,0.24,0.240.240.060.17-0.011753%0.2400.0000%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.07-0.001566%0.212-0.062100%0.01
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.00867%0.1200.00875%0.01
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.00579%0.0900.004100%0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.011257%0.091-0.02475%-0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00340%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Trent Forrest00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.00580%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.050.01550%-0.014-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.630.114.827.42.532.2134.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +51.1%
UTA -28.4%
SAS +7.3%
SAS +16.0%
SAS +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASUTANBASASUTANBA
this game13.314.314.5123.1121.2110.8
season13.914.8111.3115.1
opponent14.714.6110.0111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.513.110.816.313.3
UTA13.713.515.315.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keldon Johnson67680.70-0.200.900.497-51213.413.20.1614.414.30.10
Dejounte Murray80810.57-0.070.630.2710-81813.114.1-0.9614.513.70.78
Jock Landale13150.51-0.010.520.1014-12269.913.8-3.9116.414.02.40
Lonnie Walker IV64620.340.160.180.40-24-613.513.10.3214.314.5-0.18
Derrick White69700.310.190.130.46-57-1213.812.41.4714.314.5-0.23
Jakob Poeltl70700.300.200.090.3002-213.912.31.5614.114.8-0.67
Devin Vassell51510.290.210.090.068-61413.113.6-0.4915.713.02.67
Doug McDermott62630.140.36-0.22-0.046-41012.814.2-1.4214.214.6-0.48
Bryn Forbes98-0.110.61-0.720.07-68-1415.213.22.0512.414.5-2.14
Tre Jones1413-0.240.74-0.980.05-1012-2213.613.30.2610.614.9-4.26
Drew Eubanks2119-0.310.81-1.110.04-1214-2613.813.20.5213.514.5-1.00

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trent Forrest430.03-0.530.56-0.001-3416.014.31.7212.013.4-1.39
Jordan Clarkson5354-0.15-0.350.20-0.274-61014.913.71.1814.112.51.67
Mike Conley6567-0.15-0.350.19-0.367-91614.913.41.5814.012.21.84
Rudy Gobert7070-0.16-0.340.18-0.377-91614.613.80.7813.812.51.26
Hassan Whiteside3030-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-64-1013.214.8-1.6112.913.5-0.58
Rudy Gay4343-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.19-20-215.513.61.9113.913.00.88
Royce O'Neale6665-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.22-31-413.715.5-1.8212.814.3-1.58
Bojan Bogdanovic6665-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.29-31-413.715.5-1.8212.814.3-1.58
Joe Ingles5254-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.14-86-1415.413.32.1513.313.4-0.07
Donovan Mitchell7169-0.530.03-0.55-0.32-75-1213.316.6-3.3512.714.6-1.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.65,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.25,0.35,0.22,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 72, PHI 700.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.32,0.42,090.5%
UTA 111, SAC 1070.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.73,089.7%
WAS 103, MIA 1000.5,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.38,0.55,0.33,0.42,089.7%