NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	8.4 [220]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +27.7%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	2.1 [568]		LVP	Alec Burks (NYK): -20.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Obi Toppin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.12	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
RJ Barrett	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	47%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Mitchell Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	13	42%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	7	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	9	57%	0.00	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	7	6%	-0.18	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.16	0.01	16	71%	0.42	2	-0.14	2	50%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.09	-0.02	12	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	13	55%	0.02	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	18	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	25.6	15.3	24.4	2.5	32.9	127.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.3%

NYK -11.9%

TOR +3.7%

TOR +8.4%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	14.5	94.6	98.9	110.8
season	15.1	14.9		109.4	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.6		109.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	15.2	17.0	16.0	16.2
TOR	13.2	14.2	15.7	18.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	36	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-9	15	14.7	17.2	-2.48	15.4	15.2	0.24
Immanuel Quickley	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.43	9	-12	21	15.5	17.0	-1.47	15.2	15.3	-0.14
Nerlens Noel	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	9	-21	18.0	15.6	2.43	15.2	15.3	-0.02
Obi Toppin	46	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-9	15	15.7	16.7	-0.93	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Alec Burks	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-2	1	16.8	14.4	2.42	15.4	14.7	0.77
Derrick Rose	64	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.57	8	-11	19	15.3	18.2	-2.83	15.8	14.1	1.67
Evan Fournier	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	9	-21	17.0	15.5	1.47	15.3	15.2	0.14
RJ Barrett	58	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	6	-15	16.4	15.9	0.42	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Julius Randle	71	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.25	-10	7	-17	16.7	14.4	2.30	15.0	16.1	-1.14

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	78	78	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-11	25	15.1	16.5	-1.49	16.7	13.5	3.19
Fred VanVleet	72	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-10	23	14.4	18.7	-4.32	16.4	15.3	1.15
Justin Champagnie	18	18	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-5	13	13.5	15.7	-2.20	14.5	16.6	-2.12
Pascal Siakam	75	76	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	0	3	15.1	16.0	-0.89	16.5	14.9	1.54
Gary Trent Jr.	72	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-1	5	15.3	15.1	0.27	16.8	13.8	2.95
Chris Boucher	50	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	-2	7	14.9	15.7	-0.76	17.8	14.1	3.68
Malachi Flynn	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	5	-7	19.6	14.8	4.76	18.1	16.0	2.10
Svi Mykhailiuk	31	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	10	-17	17.0	14.3	2.68	14.0	17.3	-3.28
Yuta Watanabe	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	9	-15	15.7	15.0	0.78	14.2	17.4	-3.13
Dalano Banton	15	15	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.21	-17	20	-37	17.1	14.9	2.24	12.8	16.9	-4.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.46,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.86,0.89,0.68,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.95,1	90.7%
PHX 90, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.57,0.85,1	90.4%
NYK 106, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.68,0.84,1	90.4%