inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 101 Excitement3.9 [1013] MVPTrae Young (ATL): +8.7%
Atlanta Hawks 113 Comeback1.1 [1268] LVPDarius Bazley (OKC): -13.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Muscala0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.00-0.071141%0.0600.0000%0.00
Ty Jerome0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.130.010.08779%0.0600.005100%0.01
Kenrich Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Isaiah Roby0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.03450%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Favors0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.020.02956%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gabriel Deck0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.041335%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.031150%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.000.07959%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Josh Giddey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001352%0.043-0.073100%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.001644%-0.022-0.022100%0.01
Darius Bazley-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.011118%-0.121-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trae Young0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.150.010.072064%0.112-0.037100%0.02
John Collins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.04-0.01-0.04861%0.071-0.002100%0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.031350%0.0700.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.03592%0.071-0.002100%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.03389%0.0600.003100%0.01
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.010.041065%0.0400.0000%0.00
Cam Reddish0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.01-0.021141%0.0300.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00956%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02657%0.052-0.03250%-0.01
Skylar Mays00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sharife Cooper00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.425.014.624.41.626.5118.1
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +39.1%
ATL +3.1%
OKC -4.8%
ATL +11.9%
ATL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCATLNBAOKCATLNBA
this game16.014.614.5106.3121.5110.8
season14.414.6103.2114.3
opponent14.514.4113.2111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.315.518.114.216.0
ATL13.014.514.616.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Roby20200.08-0.580.67-0.189-213013.216.7-3.4816.614.12.58
Gabriel Deck320.00-0.500.50-0.155-172210.016.2-6.2021.514.57.03
Kenrich Williams2828-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-182415.716.1-0.4615.114.40.64
Mike Muscala3230-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-111016.515.70.8015.114.40.70
Ty Jerome3130-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-8416.116.00.1014.814.60.21
Aleksej Pokusevski4240-0.13-0.370.23-0.192-141616.715.41.3215.314.11.14
Aaron Wiggins3532-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-10816.615.70.9014.714.60.14
Luguentz Dort6162-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.03-120-1215.417.0-1.6014.415.1-0.66
Josh Giddey6161-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-131-1416.315.50.7314.315.2-0.86
Derrick Favors3534-0.41-0.09-0.320.06-164-2016.615.60.9513.415.3-1.96
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl6363-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.14-11-1-1015.716.5-0.8014.415.1-0.70
Darius Bazley6463-0.49-0.01-0.490.18-2311-3416.415.11.2914.215.5-1.29

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Huerter60580.460.040.42-0.0116-42014.115.5-1.4315.916.1-0.22
Bogdan Bogdanovic56560.420.080.34-0.0516-42013.915.7-1.8415.816.3-0.52
Clint Capela59600.420.080.34-0.1720-82814.215.3-1.1016.315.40.95
John Collins69680.390.110.280.071111014.714.40.2816.015.90.16
Trae Young64630.320.180.140.0984414.614.7-0.1015.916.3-0.42
Cam Reddish42440.180.32-0.130.0457-214.714.50.1716.515.50.97
Delon Wright27290.180.32-0.14-0.0893614.214.8-0.6216.915.61.34
Danilo Gallinari47480.090.41-0.330.12-113-1414.914.30.6316.415.60.80
Lou Williams31340.040.46-0.420.01111-1015.214.40.8116.715.61.05
Skylar Mays230.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.514.57.0310.016.2-6.20
Sharife Cooper230.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.514.57.0310.016.2-6.20
Jalen Johnson230.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.514.57.0310.016.2-6.20
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot230.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.514.57.0310.016.2-6.20
Gorgui Dieng230.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.514.57.0310.016.2-6.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 91, GSW 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MEM 86, SAS 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
NOH 95, MIL 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%