NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	5.0 [836]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (DEN): +17.2%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	1.8 [773]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	22	53%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	13	38%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.13	-0.03	0.10	16	71%	0.12	5	-0.12	10	90%	0.04
Cam Reddish	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	12	52%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.03	11	82%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.05	6	94%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
P.J. Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	22	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Monte Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	13	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	11	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.3	15.3	27.5	2.5	30.3	127.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +47.4%

ATL -5.5%

DEN +2.6%

DEN +4.8%

DEN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DEN	NBA	ATL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	14.5	103.2	110.5	110.8
season	14.6	14.8		114.3	113.4
opponent	14.4	14.5		111.6	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	12.5	17.2	15.9	15.1
DEN	14.2	15.2	14.1	19.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	37	38	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-12	15	14.9	15.3	-0.40	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Danilo Gallinari	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-13	17	15.8	14.7	1.06	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Delon Wright	31	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	16.4	14.5	1.87	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Gorgui Dieng	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-2	-5	15.2	15.1	0.08	14.3	15.9	-1.65
Kevin Huerter	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-13	17	14.8	15.7	-0.90	16.4	14.2	2.19
John Collins	77	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-10	11	15.2	14.8	0.36	16.1	12.9	3.22
Trae Young	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.5	16.4	-1.87	16.0	14.5	1.50
De'Andre Hunter	42	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.10	-17	8	-25	15.2	15.1	0.11	14.2	16.8	-2.60
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	3	-15	15.2	15.0	0.13	15.6	15.4	0.29
Clint Capela	61	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.13	-19	10	-29	15.1	15.1	-0.03	15.7	15.3	0.40

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	70	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-10	29	15.4	15.9	-0.53	15.2	14.8	0.37
Aaron Gordon	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-9	27	16.2	13.9	2.35	15.0	15.3	-0.27
Jeff Green	61	61	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-7	23	16.1	14.5	1.60	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Will Barton	70	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	7	-5	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Bones Hyland	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	7	-5	15.4	15.6	-0.24	15.8	14.5	1.29
P.J. Dozier	46	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	7	-5	14.3	16.7	-2.45	15.7	14.5	1.21
Monte Morris	62	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	15.7	15.2	0.53	14.2	16.7	-2.46
Austin Rivers	34	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	16	-23	14.5	16.1	-1.60	15.2	15.0	0.22
JaMychal Green	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	19	-29	15.9	15.4	0.53	14.8	15.2	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, MIA 104	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
UTA 77, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 97, SEA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%