NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	5.0 [843]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +24.7%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.4 [1144]		LVP	John Collins (ATL): -6.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.02	-0.01	18	78%	0.27	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	57%	0.07	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	12	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	21	61%	0.12	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.05	-0.04	20	67%	0.25	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udoka Azubuike	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miye Oni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	27.1	14.7	28.3	2.3	28.6	125.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.0%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +17.5%

ATL -2.1%

ATL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	14.5	106.5	118.3	110.8
season	14.6	14.8		114.3	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.0	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	17.1	15.5	15.3	15.6
UTA	16.9	14.2	14.5	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	21	21	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-18	24	15.3	15.7	-0.38	15.6	15.5	0.08
Lou Williams	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-14	16	15.6	15.6	0.09	15.3	15.6	-0.33
John Collins	66	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-12	12	15.5	15.9	-0.43	16.0	14.4	1.60
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-9	6	17.0	15.4	1.60	11.8	16.0	-4.21
Solomon Hill	42	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-12	12	15.0	16.0	-0.97	15.7	15.5	0.19
Gorgui Dieng	20	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	15.3	15.7	-0.35	14.2	15.9	-1.73
Danilo Gallinari	15	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.9	15.5	0.35	13.4	15.9	-2.53
Clint Capela	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-6	0	15.6	15.6	-0.05	16.4	13.5	2.86
Cam Reddish	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	15.9	15.1	0.77	15.8	15.1	0.69
Trae Young	67	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	3	-18	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.5	15.7	-0.26
Kevin Huerter	75	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.03	-20	8	-28	15.6	15.5	0.06	15.6	15.6	0.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	-6	24	16.1	14.4	1.71	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Donovan Mitchell	63	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-3	18	15.7	15.2	0.48	15.7	15.4	0.33
Hassan Whiteside	42	41	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-2	16	16.2	15.1	1.11	17.0	14.5	2.52
Bojan Bogdanovic	60	58	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	1	10	16.0	14.7	1.38	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Jordan Clarkson	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-2	16	15.1	16.1	-1.00	16.8	14.3	2.46
Eric Paschall	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	13	-14	14.5	16.0	-1.46	15.7	15.5	0.15
Joe Ingles	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	13	-14	15.7	15.4	0.31	15.6	15.6	0.02
Rudy Gobert	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	11	-10	14.9	16.3	-1.47	14.5	16.9	-2.44
Mike Conley	61	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	14	-16	14.5	17.5	-2.96	14.7	17.2	-2.57
Trent Forrest	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	12	-12	17.5	15.4	2.12	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Jared Butler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	24.0	15.5	8.53	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Udoka Azubuike	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	24.0	15.5	8.53	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Miye Oni	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	24.0	15.5	8.53	14.0	15.6	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 109, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.72,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MEM 80, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	94.6%
MIA 76, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%