NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	3.7 [958]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +12.4%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	1.4 [1108]		LVP	Kenyon Martin Jr. (HOU): -15.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	69%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Cameron Oliver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	53%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Cameron Reynolds	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	14	32%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Lamb	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	6	44%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Armoni Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	19	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	-0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	15	32%	-0.08	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.03	7	83%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	13	72%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	6	73%	0.06	4	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	11	73%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	11	47%	0.03	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	9	65%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	26.3	14.8	23.7	1.8	24.3	120.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.8%

ATL +4.0%

ATL +3.1%

ATL +13.6%

HOU -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	14.4	92.2	119.2	111.3
season	14.1	14.7		106.2	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.0		111.4	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.5	14.4	15.5	15.3	14.3
ATL	12.3	12.3	15.1	14.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	44	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-24	19	13.5	14.9	-1.47	14.2	12.9	1.31
Kelly Olynyk	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-23	17	14.1	14.6	-0.47	13.1	13.9	-0.75
Cameron Reynolds	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.39	-23	-6	-17	14.3	14.4	-0.09	13.7	13.1	0.60
Cameron Oliver	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.37	-23	-6	-17	15.1	13.3	1.71	13.9	13.0	0.98
D.J. Augustin	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-15	1	14.1	14.5	-0.47	12.7	14.3	-1.62
Kenyon Martin Jr.	77	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-9	-11	14.5	13.8	0.69	13.6	13.3	0.27
Armoni Brooks	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.42	-31	2	-33	14.5	14.0	0.49	13.1	14.4	-1.30
Anthony Lamb	92	92	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.14	-23	-6	-17	14.3	14.6	-0.35	13.6	12.6	1.05

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	75	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.49	30	-1	31	13.9	12.6	1.23	14.7	13.4	1.31
Onyeka Okongwu	72	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.18	17	12	5	13.5	13.5	0.06	14.3	14.4	-0.17
Trae Young	38	39	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	16	-3	11.9	14.4	-2.46	13.8	14.6	-0.85
John Collins	38	39	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	16	-3	11.9	14.4	-2.46	13.8	14.6	-0.85
De'Andre Hunter	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	21	-13	13.7	13.3	0.41	15.5	13.2	2.31
Nathan Knight	55	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.18	14	15	-1	14.2	12.8	1.39	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Lou Williams	35	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	17	-5	13.4	13.6	-0.12	14.9	14.0	0.86
Tony Snell	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	18	-7	13.2	13.8	-0.58	13.2	15.6	-2.35
Bruno Fernando	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	19	-9	14.2	13.0	1.17	14.4	14.2	0.17
Skylar Mays	58	57	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.40	17	12	5	14.1	12.8	1.30	14.2	14.4	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, IND 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ATL 83, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAS 78, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%