NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	5.8 [580]		MVP	Clint Capela (ATL): +19.9%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	3.6 [543]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -16.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Williams	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	12	83%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	8	39%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	16	35%	-0.08	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	-0.00	9	74%	0.20	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.04
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	-0.02	0.01	14	82%	0.27	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.04
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	27.0	14.7	23.7	2.3	31.3	128.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.9%

CHI -1.8%

ATL +5.0%

CHI -0.9%

ATL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	14.4	100.0	112.5	111.3
season	14.5	14.7		109.9	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.3		111.4	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	13.9	15.4	15.5	15.0
ATL	13.9	13.8	14.0	18.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Arcidiacono	30	28	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-20	29	15.2	15.0	0.23	16.5	14.1	2.35
Denzel Valentine	32	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-18	25	15.2	15.0	0.22	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Lauri Markkanen	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	14.7	15.3	-0.62	14.0	15.6	-1.53
Al-Farouq Aminu	22	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	17.5	14.3	3.12	15.7	14.5	1.18
Tomas Satoransky	33	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-2	-7	16.8	14.2	2.60	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Coby White	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-6	1	14.8	15.6	-0.85	15.2	13.9	1.23
Patrick Williams	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	14.8	15.5	-0.66	14.9	14.5	0.44
Daniel Theis	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.8	15.5	-0.77	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Thaddeus Young	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	4	-19	15.0	15.1	-0.03	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Garrett Temple	58	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	7	-25	14.1	16.5	-2.38	14.5	15.3	-0.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	56	57	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-8	27	15.3	14.1	1.12	16.0	13.6	2.37
Tony Snell	41	40	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.04	24	-13	37	14.8	14.8	0.05	16.5	14.0	2.57
Bogdan Bogdanovic	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-6	23	14.9	14.5	0.37	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Trae Young	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-4	19	14.9	14.5	0.37	14.8	15.8	-1.05
John Collins	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-2	15	14.4	15.6	-1.20	14.2	16.9	-2.74
Solomon Hill	23	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	17	-23	14.5	14.9	-0.37	16.4	14.6	1.78
Danilo Gallinari	43	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	14.7	14.9	-0.23	15.2	14.9	0.22
Lou Williams	25	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	17	-23	14.9	14.8	0.11	15.7	14.8	0.91
Onyeka Okongwu	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	18	-25	15.0	14.7	0.23	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Kevin Huerter	53	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	22	-33	14.6	15.0	-0.40	13.9	16.5	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 99, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%
OKC 112, SAS 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.7%
MIN 117, DAL 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.4%