inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 102 Excitement8.2 [228] MVPAlec Burks (NYK): +43.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 96 Comeback1.7 [245] LVPSam Merrill (MIL): -16.6%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alec Burks0.440,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.43,0.440.150.300.011378%0.461-0.021100%0.00
Kevin Knox II0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00362%0.0600.002100%0.02
Obi Toppin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00764%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Mitchell Robinson-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nerlens Noel-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00743%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Rose-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.011543%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Taj Gibson-0.090,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.01737%-0.051-0.0420%-0.06
Immanuel Quickley-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12-0.03-0.09-0.011445%0.002-0.121100%0.01
RJ Barrett-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13-0.09-0.020.022246%0.035-0.162100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.23,0.15,0.080.080.09-0.03-0.021566%0.213-0.13560%-0.03
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.01960%0.061-0.01250%-0.02
Mamadi Diakite0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.03-0.00944%0.0300.0000%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.04-0.001155%0.135-0.1500%0.00
Axel Toupane0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.01425%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.07-0.011850%0.023-0.10650%-0.04
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.090.011140%-0.111-0.023100%0.01
Sam Merrill0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.10-0.011040%-0.033-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.328.414.625.42.434.5129.9
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +42.8%
MIL -6.7%
NYK +8.6%
NYK +2.5%
NYK +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMILNBANYKMILNBA
this game16.214.114.4107.4101.1111.3
season15.213.5109.2114.8
opponent14.714.6109.3107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK16.615.316.016.816.2
MIL12.213.516.714.514.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alec Burks81810.65-0.150.810.2713-72016.414.71.7114.213.90.34
Derrick Rose59590.52-0.020.540.327-1814.918.2-3.3514.313.90.37
Kevin Knox II22210.400.100.300.178-21015.216.5-1.2817.513.24.33
Taj Gibson67670.340.160.170.137-1816.814.72.0113.515.8-2.32
Immanuel Quickley52520.280.220.050.2515-415.417.1-1.6514.214.10.10
RJ Barrett77770.210.29-0.080.24-17-816.216.10.0713.417.5-4.14
Mitchell Robinson13120.120.38-0.25-0.0560616.916.00.8713.514.2-0.74
Nerlens Noel62630.120.38-0.260.24-410-1416.415.80.6314.513.50.93
Obi Toppin1415-0.070.57-0.630.05-410-1415.316.3-1.0414.314.10.22
Elfrid Payton2828-0.070.57-0.650.01-39-1218.415.23.2014.414.10.30

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mamadi Diakite4648-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-6613.714.6-0.9216.116.3-0.17
Pat Connaughton5556-0.16-0.340.19-0.336-121814.313.90.4717.114.82.29
Bryn Forbes5554-0.17-0.330.17-0.315-111614.114.1-0.0017.314.72.57
Thanasis Antetokounmpo7474-0.19-0.310.12-0.221-7814.214.00.1316.016.9-0.95
Brook Lopez5958-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.322-81014.413.70.6417.214.62.58
Axel Toupane5756-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.08-115-1614.313.90.3315.517.1-1.63
Jordan Nwora7272-0.580.08-0.67-0.17-148-2213.914.9-0.9515.418.4-2.99
Sam Merrill5757-0.670.17-0.85-0.12-1913-3214.214.10.1615.117.8-2.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 105, ORL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,093.3%
DET 105, CHA 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.29,0.33,0.16,093.0%
POR 82, NYK 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.03,0.15,092.4%