NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	119		Excitement	5.6 [618]		MVP	Bobby Portis (MIL): +20.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	121		Comeback	1.1 [861]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -32.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.06	0.03	16	75%	0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	7	94%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	9	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.05	18	64%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	19	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.32	-0.04	-0.25	0.03	13	40%	-0.31	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.02	0.02	10	91%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.01	0.06	7	106%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	16	41%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.10	-0.01	20	59%	0.06	5	-0.14	6	50%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	11	45%	0.09	5	-0.17	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.4	24.6	14.8	32.0	3.0	33.0	136.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.7%

MIL +2.9%

MIL +16.5%

BOS -14.7%

MIL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	14.4	119.0	119.8	111.3
season	14.5	13.5		112.8	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.5		109.3	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	14.8	13.7	13.2	14.1
MIL	14.7	14.0	13.0	16.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	32	34	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.28	11	-13	24	14.7	13.8	0.86	16.0	13.8	2.18
Payton Pritchard	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	0	-2	16.6	13.9	2.74	15.1	14.5	0.62
Grant Williams	38	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-10	18	13.3	14.6	-1.31	15.4	14.0	1.44
Semi Ojeleye	10	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	16.4	13.8	2.56	17.1	14.3	2.79
Robert Williams III	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-6	10	14.8	13.6	1.21	15.5	13.9	1.60
Jayson Tatum	81	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-6	10	14.0	14.4	-0.40	14.6	14.3	0.31
Marcus Smart	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	4	-10	13.8	15.1	-1.25	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Daniel Theis	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	9	-20	13.8	14.7	-0.91	13.9	16.0	-2.12
Jaylen Brown	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	8	-18	13.8	14.8	-0.98	13.9	16.2	-2.32
Kemba Walker	75	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	4	-10	14.0	14.5	-0.56	13.9	16.3	-2.41

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-5	12	13.8	16.0	-2.22	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Khris Middleton	78	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	1	0	14.1	16.2	-2.10	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Donte DiVincenzo	69	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-3	8	14.5	14.7	-0.15	13.6	15.0	-1.34
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	-4	10	14.6	14.5	0.04	14.3	13.6	0.74
Jrue Holiday	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	2	-2	14.7	14.1	0.58	14.3	13.6	0.73
Pat Connaughton	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	4	-6	14.2	15.0	-0.86	14.2	14.0	0.21
P.J. Tucker	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	3	-4	14.7	14.5	0.22	13.9	14.2	-0.33
Sam Merrill	16	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	16.9	14.1	2.76	15.0	13.9	1.08
Bobby Portis	34	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.16	-7	9	-16	16.0	13.8	2.22	14.4	14.0	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.86,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 68, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 109, WAS 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 75, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%