NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	123		Excitement	9.0 [137]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +49.2%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	12.4 [33]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -7.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.49	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.49	0.23	0.27	0.01	24	75%	0.59	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.06
Anthony Edwards	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	31	56%	0.37	2	-0.02	13	62%	-0.12
Juancho Hernangomez	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.07	0.11	0.00	11	54%	0.18	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jaylen Nowell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	43%	0.01	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.14	-0.03	8	78%	0.26	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.14	-0.01	14	57%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	10	77%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.12,-0.01	-0.01	0.13	-0.14	0.00	22	69%	0.22	5	-0.23	7	86%	-0.03
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.6	23.4	14.8	30.2	2.5	37.5	135.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -33.2%

MIN +37.4%

MIN +10.5%

MIN +36.4%

PHX -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.9	14.4	117.1	113.3	111.3
season	14.1	14.7		108.7	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.0		109.6	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	13.5	12.9	14.8	13.6
PHX	12.9	14.7	12.8	15.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juancho Hernangomez	45	45	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-3	10	13.8	13.4	0.44	14.7	13.2	1.46
Anthony Edwards	86	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	12.8	16.8	-3.99	14.0	13.0	1.03
Ricky Rubio	65	65	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-1	6	13.2	14.2	-0.97	13.4	14.6	-1.16
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	0	4	13.7	13.0	0.71	13.4	15.2	-1.84
Josh Okogie	45	47	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	3	-2	14.8	12.6	2.19	13.4	14.2	-0.78
Jaden McDaniels	59	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-4	12	14.0	13.0	0.94	14.2	13.4	0.77
Naz Reid	33	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	6	-8	13.0	13.8	-0.79	14.1	13.7	0.39
Jake Layman	50	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	13.0	14.1	-1.17	14.0	13.7	0.31
Jaylen Nowell	43	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	15.1	12.5	2.58	14.5	13.4	1.11
Jarred Vanderbilt	20	21	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.01	-8	12	-20	11.7	14.0	-2.25	12.3	14.2	-1.90

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	36	36	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-8	12	13.2	14.2	-1.01	13.7	13.5	0.19
Abdel Nader	31	31	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-3	2	14.3	13.7	0.66	13.4	13.6	-0.22
Frank Kaminsky	15	16	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-8	12	12.9	14.0	-1.08	14.3	13.4	0.87
Langston Galloway	32	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	15.4	13.2	2.23	14.1	13.3	0.71
Jevon Carter	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	15.9	13.5	2.45	14.2	13.4	0.80
Deandre Ayton	55	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-11	18	14.0	13.7	0.30	14.2	12.9	1.30
Dario Saric	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	5	-14	13.7	14.0	-0.30	12.9	14.2	-1.30
Devin Booker	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	13.3	15.4	-2.09	13.2	14.5	-1.31
Jae Crowder	70	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	13.5	14.6	-1.11	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Mikal Bridges	74	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	1	-6	13.7	14.3	-0.66	13.6	13.4	0.22
Chris Paul	69	69	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.45	-8	4	-12	14.2	13.2	1.01	13.5	13.7	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.37,0.29,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	92.4%
MIA 84, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,0	92.3%
POR 110, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.66,0.55,0.46,0.24,0.16,0	92.2%