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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 103 Excitement8.8 [164] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +32.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 102 Comeback2.4 [558] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -28.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.330,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.33,0.33,0.330.130.210.011472%0.372-0.0410%-0.02
Nikola Jokic0.300,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.30.110.16-0.032261%0.331-0.02250%-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0.250,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.250.120.140.011370%0.281-0.03475%-0.01
Facundo Campazzo0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.06-0.00757%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00769%0.121-0.052100%0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Monte Morris-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00833%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
PJ Dozier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.00625%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.290,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.18-0.12-0.021411%-0.261-0.0300%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Anthony Melton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.190.190.040.160.00764%0.231-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Clarke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.040.001467%0.191-0.032100%0.01
Dillon Brooks0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.130.13-0.010.150.012050%0.223-0.0800%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.021070%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03-0.00383%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Desmond Bane0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.010.00583%0.082-0.042100%0.01
Xavier Tillman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.05-0.00650%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.01520%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Ja Morant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.05,-0.15,-0.27-0.27-0.10-0.18-0.001644%-0.085-0.204100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.824.215.326.11.728.2121.5
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +22.5%
MEM -3.9%
DEN +8.5%
DEN +21.6%
DEN +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game15.014.214.4104.0104.1111.3
season15.014.0116.0111.2
opponent14.514.4110.4112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.514.313.618.115.0
MEM13.313.914.615.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton64650.80-0.301.100.3615-142914.715.5-0.7914.014.7-0.74
Monte Morris68680.68-0.180.850.3511-102113.917.5-3.6713.914.9-1.05
Michael Porter Jr.71730.61-0.110.710.349-81714.616.2-1.6514.214.3-0.10
Jamal Murray70680.55-0.050.590.289-81714.815.7-0.8813.515.7-2.20
Nikola Jokic76760.320.180.150.41-34-714.516.7-2.1713.716.0-2.37
Isaiah Hartenstein21200.090.41-0.330.0610116.814.62.2016.013.72.26
PJ Dozier4442-0.130.63-0.750.28-1415-2915.714.51.2514.613.90.77
Paul Millsap4341-0.180.68-0.850.15-1112-2316.114.21.9215.313.41.87
Facundo Campazzo3837-0.240.74-0.970.12-1213-2516.913.93.0714.913.81.19

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyus Jones27270.09-0.590.69-0.117-81514.614.10.5417.014.32.71
De'Anthony Melton43460.08-0.580.67-0.3013-142715.013.61.4616.114.12.05
Xavier Tillman2222-0.03-0.470.43-0.01-10-115.413.91.5517.114.42.65
Justise Winslow4644-0.06-0.440.39-0.267-81513.614.7-1.0814.715.3-0.67
Kyle Anderson3839-0.24-0.260.020.03-98-1714.414.00.4014.815.2-0.43
Desmond Bane3837-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-109-1913.814.5-0.7214.215.5-1.34
Brandon Clarke6060-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.508-91714.014.4-0.4015.214.80.43
Jonas Valanciunas7677-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.460-1113.915.4-1.5514.417.1-2.65
Ja Morant7172-0.590.09-0.69-0.36-87-1514.114.6-0.5414.317.0-2.71
Dillon Brooks6971-0.770.27-1.05-0.42-1211-2314.313.90.3915.015.1-0.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.23,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 104, IND 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.3,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.04,091.8%
ATL 101, CHH 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.15,091.3%
LAL 80, SAS 750.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.16,090.8%