NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	117		Excitement	9.0 [147]		MVP	Terance Mann (LAC): +24.3%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	6.8 [82]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): -17.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terance Mann	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	5	78%	0.24	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Luke Kennard	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	8	87%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	77%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	10	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Reggie Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.01	13	53%	0.15	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	63%	0.13	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	10	39%	-0.12	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	23	54%	0.25	1	-0.03	15	93%	0.12
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	0.00	6	69%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Moritz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	19	51%	0.14	1	-0.04	15	47%	-0.13
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	56%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	26.3	14.8	32.5	2.4	48.0	150.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +10.6%

LAC -5.0%

WAS +18.5%

WAS +16.2%

WAS +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.3	14.4	112.5	116.7	111.3
season	14.9	13.3		116.6	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.7		112.4	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	13.4	15.9	15.3	14.7
WAS	13.6	14.9	12.8	12.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	44	44	0.57	-1.07	1.63	-0.11	23	-25	48	13.6	15.4	-1.78	14.4	12.4	1.98
Ivica Zubac	62	58	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.18	20	-22	42	15.0	14.1	0.91	13.9	12.4	1.50
Terance Mann	62	60	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.17	2	-4	6	14.5	14.8	-0.28	14.0	12.3	1.74
Reggie Jackson	65	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	7	-16	14.2	15.4	-1.19	12.4	14.7	-2.37
Kawhi Leonard	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.73	9	-11	20	14.8	14.4	0.48	13.4	13.1	0.29
Patrick Beverley	53	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	5	-12	15.2	14.1	1.07	13.3	13.3	0.03
Lou Williams	62	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.52	-3	1	-4	14.4	15.1	-0.72	12.9	13.7	-0.82
Serge Ibaka	39	40	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.30	-22	20	-42	14.7	14.6	0.13	13.2	13.3	-0.10
Nicolas Batum	66	66	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.31	-23	21	-44	15.2	13.8	1.42	12.4	14.9	-2.44

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moritz Wagner	42	44	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.30	26	-24	50	12.4	13.9	-1.54	14.8	14.5	0.31
Rui Hachimura	70	71	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.58	11	-9	20	12.8	14.3	-1.54	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Russell Westbrook	78	81	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.41	15	-13	28	12.7	15.2	-2.46	14.1	16.7	-2.55
Bradley Beal	78	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-2	6	13.0	14.1	-1.04	14.9	14.0	0.87
Davis Bertans	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.42	-5	7	-12	12.9	13.7	-0.78	13.2	16.6	-3.34
Garrison Mathews	30	31	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	-8	18	13.3	13.3	-0.03	15.9	14.1	1.81
Raul Neto	52	51	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.14	-20	22	-42	14.0	12.5	1.46	14.7	14.7	0.01
Deni Avdija	50	50	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.08	-13	15	-28	14.8	11.8	3.05	15.6	13.8	1.73
Robin Lopez	52	54	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	-0.02	-18	20	-38	14.1	12.5	1.62	15.2	14.0	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.68,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.63,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 99, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.64,0.77,0.92,1	89.6%
SAC 88, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.3,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.91,1	89.2%
MIL 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.18,0.47,0.72,0.84,0.99,1	89.1%