NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	127		Excitement	7.8 [293]		MVP	Malik Monk (CHA): +62.6%
Sacramento Kings	126		Comeback	2499.0 [1]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -14.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.63	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.63	0.03	0.58	-0.01	17	54%	0.71	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.12
P.J. Washington	0.52	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.52	0.33	0.20	0.02	23	79%	0.53	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.07
Miles Bridges	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.06	-0.00	7	93%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	12	71%	0.20	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.04
Cody Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	90%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen McDaniels	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	9	38%	-0.05	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.08	0.03	14	85%	0.31	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.09	-0.04	20	57%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.00	6	92%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.15	0.15	0.23	-0.05	0.03	17	81%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.04
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	68%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.05	22	42%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.0	28.0	15.5	27.5	2.3	45.4	148.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +1.7%

CHA +63.9%

SAC -2.1%

SAC -14.8%

CHA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAC	NBA	CHA	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	14.4	128.3	127.3	111.3
season	14.2	14.0		109.4	112.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		115.9	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.2	14.3	14.2	14.1	13.9
SAC	12.5	17.0	15.2	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	62	62	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.32	20	-19	39	13.9	13.9	-0.01	15.6	14.4	1.28
Miles Bridges	66	66	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.39	15	-14	29	13.7	14.4	-0.64	15.5	14.4	1.14
LaMelo Ball	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-5	11	14.3	12.7	1.55	15.0	15.6	-0.62
P.J. Washington	85	86	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.60	-5	6	-11	13.8	14.7	-0.90	15.5	13.1	2.39
Terry Rozier	65	63	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.58	-12	13	-25	13.7	14.4	-0.63	15.0	15.4	-0.33
Cody Martin	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	-8	17	14.4	13.4	0.98	16.7	13.4	3.29
Caleb Martin	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	2	-3	16.1	13.8	2.37	18.3	14.9	3.39
Bismack Biyombo	43	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	11	-21	14.1	13.8	0.23	13.4	16.6	-3.22
Jalen McDaniels	35	36	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.09	-17	18	-35	13.1	14.4	-1.36	12.8	16.5	-3.73

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	72	72	0.68	-1.18	1.87	0.16	18	-19	37	14.9	15.7	-0.81	14.0	13.8	0.22
Buddy Hield	81	84	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.50	12	-13	25	14.6	17.6	-3.01	13.4	16.9	-3.53
Harrison Barnes	86	87	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.45	10	-11	21	14.9	17.0	-2.13	14.1	13.0	1.07
DaQuan Jeffries	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	9	-19	17.8	14.4	3.43	15.8	13.4	2.36
Nemanja Bjelica	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	11	-23	15.3	15.0	0.26	13.6	14.2	-0.67
Richaun Holmes	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.58	0	-1	1	14.8	16.1	-1.27	14.1	13.5	0.63
De'Aaron Fox	84	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.50	-3	2	-5	15.0	15.7	-0.69	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Cory Joseph	33	31	-1.26	0.76	-2.02	-0.67	-20	19	-39	16.7	14.4	2.32	14.2	13.8	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.97,1,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, GSW 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.83,0	90.1%
MIL 87, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.57,0.84,0	90.0%
NYK 93, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.82,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0	89.8%