NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	7.7 [225]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +36.1%
Miami Heat	109		Comeback	1.5 [522]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -19.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.21	0.14	-0.01	21	69%	0.40	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	17	54%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	6	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	13	45%	-0.04	4	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.11,0,-0.07,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	14	43%	0.05	7	-0.25	7	100%	0.09

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.14	0.02	15	71%	0.29	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	82%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.15	0.00	10	58%	0.32	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KZ Okpala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	55%	0.14	5	-0.19	5	80%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	12	50%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	27.2	14.8	24.7	1.8	39.4	133.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.8	27.9	2.3	32.6	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.2%

ATL -5.7%

ATL -1.7%

MIA +6.1%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.7	14.4	102.1	113.5	110.9
season	14.7	14.6		113.6	107.7
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	14.8	14.8	15.5	15.2
MIA	13.1	15.2	15.2	15.2	14.7

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.67,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.52,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.92,1	92.3%
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	92.0%
UTA 108, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	91.8%