NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	9.7 [78]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (DET): +29.2%
Detroit Pistons	107		Comeback	6.7 [198]		LVP	Cory Joseph (SAC): -15.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.13	0.01	8	83%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.08
Harrison Barnes	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.22	0.04	0.21	0.03	14	50%	0.22	0	0.00	14	64%	-0.11
Nemanja Bjelica	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.01	4	80%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Marvin Bagley III	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	-0.02	-0.08	21	51%	0.15	2	-0.05	11	73%	-0.02
Kyle Guy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	14	42%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.14	0.01	10	85%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.00	13	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	-0.11	0.01	17	61%	0.07	2	-0.08	15	93%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	6	37%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	14	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.24
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.3	28.8	15.3	31.3	1.8	48.2	156.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.5%

SAC +12.0%

SAC +17.2%

DET -1.7%

SAC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	13.9	14.4	111.1	105.9	111.3
season	14.0	15.0		112.2	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.6	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	17.3	17.7	12.0	15.0
DET	13.6	14.0	13.0	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	68	68	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.30	19	-16	35	14.4	16.3	-1.94	14.7	12.0	2.75
Nemanja Bjelica	27	28	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-5	13	12.0	16.1	-4.07	14.1	13.7	0.40
De'Aaron Fox	79	82	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-7	17	14.2	17.9	-3.68	14.3	11.8	2.47
Harrison Barnes	83	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.47	6	-3	9	15.4	12.7	2.71	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Buddy Hield	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	1	1	14.8	15.5	-0.72	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Kyle Guy	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	16.1	14.5	1.57	13.8	13.9	-0.03
DaQuan Jeffries	30	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	8	-13	14.9	15.0	-0.04	14.0	13.8	0.17
Justin James	8	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	8	-13	15.1	14.9	0.18	8.7	14.3	-5.54
Marvin Bagley III	55	57	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	10	-17	16.0	13.7	2.26	13.9	13.8	0.02
Cory Joseph	38	39	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	15	-27	16.7	13.9	2.88	12.4	14.7	-2.31

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	46	43	0.54	-1.04	1.57	-0.02	19	-22	41	12.4	15.1	-2.68	16.1	14.1	2.09
Svi Mykhailiuk	39	39	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-10	17	13.3	14.2	-0.84	15.4	14.7	0.70
Sekou Doumbouya	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-4	5	15.3	13.5	1.74	16.1	14.7	1.35
Saben Lee	47	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-5	7	12.9	14.7	-1.75	14.8	15.1	-0.25
Josh Jackson	65	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.46	10	-13	23	12.8	15.7	-2.91	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Wayne Ellington	31	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	9	-21	15.4	13.2	2.26	16.1	14.4	1.74
Dennis Smith Jr.	54	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	4	-11	14.7	12.9	1.75	15.3	14.5	0.81
Jerami Grant	82	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	13.5	15.3	-1.74	14.7	16.1	-1.35
Saddiq Bey	67	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	6	-15	14.4	12.7	1.73	14.2	16.4	-2.20
Mason Plumlee	55	56	-1.04	0.54	-1.57	-0.39	-22	19	-41	15.1	12.4	2.68	14.1	16.1	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0	90.3%
UTA 96, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.57,0.16,0	90.1%
MIN 99, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	89.7%