inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 112 Excitement9.2 [115] MVPBam Adebayo (MIA): +29.0%
Golden State Warriors 120 Comeback59.6 [29] LVPTyler Herro (MIA): -28.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.290,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.290.100.18-0.011665%0.363-0.07580%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.01787%0.1200.001100%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.00-0.00862%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Gabe Vincent-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.010.01-0.05-0.031254%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.01741%0.001-0.023100%0.01
Kendrick Nunn-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.11-0.130.031468%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.09-0.031543%-0.005-0.1600%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29-0.09-0.21-0.011533%-0.182-0.113100%0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.22,0.220.220.140.120.031965%0.261-0.042100%0.01
Eric Paschall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.050.00569%0.142-0.04650%-0.04
Juan Toscano-Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.15-0.100.031572%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.21,-0.28,-0.03,0.010.01-0.030.060.022546%0.073-0.064100%0.01
Mychal Mulder0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.02-0.00-0.02736%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brad Wanamaker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00243%-0.011-0.023100%0.01
Damion Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.2,-0.31,-0.24-0.240.01-0.220.031664%-0.106-0.15475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.63.527.414.427.22.831.22.415.6149.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +12.4%
MIA -7.4%
GSW +33.3%
GSW +11.4%
GSW +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAGSWNBAMIAGSWNBA
this game15.513.614.4102.8109.1111.3
season14.613.5109.3109.9
opponent14.514.9108.8110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.816.315.517.112.215.5
GSW12.916.510.814.215.113.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Precious Achiuwa36350.54-1.041.570.0417-254215.415.6-0.2012.813.9-1.15
Kelly Olynyk49510.17-0.670.830.025-131815.115.8-0.6412.314.7-2.39
Gabe Vincent19200.14-0.640.780.024-121616.315.30.9917.712.65.07
Andre Iguodala4243-0.21-0.290.070.34-1911-3015.715.40.3612.614.2-1.56
Tyler Herro7981-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.33-5-3-215.415.8-0.4213.812.81.08
Jimmy Butler8685-0.550.05-0.61-0.41-5-3-215.216.6-1.4113.214.7-1.51
Kendrick Nunn8585-0.570.07-0.64-0.45-4-4015.415.8-0.4312.915.8-2.91
Duncan Robinson8080-0.590.09-0.69-0.21-135-1816.014.01.9914.411.33.15
Bam Adebayo6970-0.930.43-1.37-0.35-2012-3215.515.5-0.0914.212.41.74

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Wiggins77780.91-0.411.320.1825-174214.012.51.5315.814.80.92
Eric Paschall65640.62-0.120.740.3310-21213.913.10.7915.515.40.09
Stephen Curry90890.58-0.080.660.3580812.816.9-4.0915.316.3-1.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.93920.500.000.500.3844012.817.6-4.7715.217.2-1.99
Kent Bazemore77760.380.120.260.3517-614.012.51.5715.515.40.10
Mychal Mulder30300.110.39-0.27-0.0662412.813.8-1.0815.815.40.37
Brad Wanamaker2020-0.080.58-0.67-0.0808-816.912.84.0916.315.31.05
Juan Toscano-Anderson4545-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-210-1213.113.9-0.7915.415.5-0.09
Damion Lee5351-0.400.90-1.30-0.05-1220-3213.913.20.7515.515.5-0.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.08,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 97, SAC 1000.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.59,0.73,191.6%
ORL 110, LAL 1130.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,191.3%
LAL 123, CHI 1290.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,190.2%