NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	126		Excitement	10.8 [37]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +77.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	124		Comeback	5.6 [136]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (NOP): -19.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.70	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.7	0.20	0.51	0.01	28	67%	0.97	4	-0.27	8	100%	0.09
Gary Trent Jr.	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.19	0.28	0.02	14	72%	0.45	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.32	0.09	0.23	-0.01	8	81%	0.33	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.21	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.02	12	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	5	54%	0.12	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Nassir Little	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	38%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.38,0.77	0.77	0.22	0.56	0.01	18	71%	0.82	1	-0.05	15	73%	0.28
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.15	0.32	0.00	7	100%	0.48	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.29,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.00	14	70%	0.23	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	13	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	9	22%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.18	0.01	12	47%	-0.08	2	-0.12	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	28.3	14.4	28.2	2.5	33.5	134.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +105.6%

NOP -39.3%

NOP -25.5%

NOP -11.6%

POR +20.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOP	NBA	POR	NOP	NBA
this game	15.8	14.3	14.4	132.6	129.2	111.3
season	14.9	14.0		116.9	112.4
opponent	14.4	14.2		112.5	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	17.6	14.2	16.7	15.8
NOP	13.2	12.9	14.6	16.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	75	76	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.46	14	-12	26	15.4	17.4	-2.04	14.5	13.6	0.85
Robert Covington	74	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-10	22	15.8	15.9	-0.02	14.6	13.0	1.65
Gary Trent Jr.	70	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	-5	12	15.0	18.2	-3.15	13.6	16.5	-2.85
Carmelo Anthony	39	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.57	-6	8	-14	16.5	15.4	1.09	13.6	14.8	-1.15
Anfernee Simons	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.55	-9	11	-20	17.9	13.9	3.93	14.8	13.9	0.98
Derrick Jones Jr.	64	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	-1	4	14.7	18.2	-3.49	14.4	14.0	0.41
Enes Kanter	61	61	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	-8	18	15.5	16.5	-1.07	14.7	13.7	1.05
Nassir Little	8	7	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	12	-22	21.6	15.3	6.31	13.7	14.4	-0.66
Rodney Hood	38	36	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.01	-11	13	-24	16.4	15.5	0.96	14.0	14.5	-0.52

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	38	36	0.44	-0.94	1.38	-0.03	16	-18	34	14.6	14.1	0.47	17.5	14.8	2.71
Willy Hernangomez	55	55	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.16	8	-10	18	14.3	14.4	-0.07	16.9	14.3	2.58
Kira Lewis Jr.	35	34	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.05	11	-13	24	13.6	14.7	-1.09	17.0	15.2	1.85
Jaxson Hayes	17	17	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-6	10	16.3	13.9	2.40	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Steven Adams	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	6	-14	13.5	14.6	-1.13	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Zion Williamson	71	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	2	-6	13.4	17.0	-3.62	15.5	16.7	-1.12
Josh Hart	57	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.89	9	-11	20	14.8	13.6	1.19	16.9	14.1	2.84
Brandon Ingram	65	65	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	11	-24	15.0	13.0	1.95	15.2	17.2	-1.98
Eric Bledsoe	48	49	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.44	-14	12	-26	13.8	14.9	-1.06	14.8	17.0	-2.20
Lonzo Ball	72	71	-0.94	0.44	-1.37	-0.38	-19	17	-36	14.7	13.3	1.38	15.1	18.1	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.55,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.73,0	92.4%
PHI 80, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.45,0.73,0	89.8%
SAC 119, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.42,0	89.6%