NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	8.0 [255]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +19.4%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.4 [362]		LVP	Garrett Temple (CHI): -18.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.14	0.02	24	56%	0.26	2	-0.07	15	93%	0.03
Rui Hachimura	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	13	61%	0.17	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Alex Len	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	81%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	8	36%	0.05	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Deni Avdija	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	9	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.12	-0.01	10	36%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	13	42%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	11	61%	0.05	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.18	-0.18	0.08	-0.24	0.02	26	56%	-0.10	3	-0.07	11	73%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	8	12%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	34.4	15.3	28.5	2.3	34.8	141.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.3%

WAS +12.3%

WAS +2.6%

WAS +5.4%

WAS +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	14.4	104.0	99.0	111.3
season	13.3	14.5		109.9	109.9
opponent	14.3	14.1		111.1	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	13.0	16.1	16.7	15.0
CHI	11.7	14.7	14.5	12.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	66	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-9	22	15.3	14.4	0.95	12.9	14.2	-1.24
Deni Avdija	59	60	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.21	15	-11	26	15.1	14.9	0.24	13.1	13.8	-0.68
Robin Lopez	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.03	12	-8	20	15.2	14.7	0.52	13.6	13.1	0.45
Rui Hachimura	78	79	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.37	-2	6	-8	14.9	15.6	-0.71	12.9	14.9	-2.00
Bradley Beal	73	73	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	9	-14	15.3	14.2	1.11	13.7	12.4	1.28
Davis Bertans	78	79	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	5	-6	15.1	14.8	0.31	13.9	11.3	2.60
Alex Len	45	45	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	12	-20	14.7	15.2	-0.52	13.1	13.6	-0.45
Garrison Mathews	15	15	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	-1	6	13.6	15.3	-1.67	12.0	13.6	-1.60
Raul Neto	35	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	13	-22	14.4	15.3	-0.95	14.2	12.9	1.24

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	76	75	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-10	16	13.3	13.7	-0.39	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Daniel Gafford	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	14.8	12.7	2.12	15.3	14.9	0.44
Cristiano Felicio	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	0	-4	14.1	13.2	0.91	15.9	14.8	1.11
Tomas Satoransky	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	0	-4	12.9	13.9	-1.00	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Garrett Temple	61	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-7	10	12.3	15.0	-2.66	15.4	14.5	0.89
Coby White	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-5	6	13.5	13.1	0.49	15.2	14.8	0.37
Ryan Arcidiacono	11	12	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	4	-12	13.5	13.4	0.10	17.0	14.8	2.25
Denzel Valentine	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	0	-4	14.2	12.4	1.80	15.1	14.9	0.16
Thaddeus Young	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-3	2	12.6	14.6	-2.04	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Zach LaVine	79	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	3	-10	13.7	12.0	1.70	14.8	15.7	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 101, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.14,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.14,0.28,0.06,0.02,0	93.3%
LAL 101, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.04,0	93.0%
CLE 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	92.7%