NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	9.5 [99]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +34.8%
LA Clippers	110		Comeback	2.0 [167]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): -10.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.35	0.16	0.19	0.01	25	62%	0.38	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Tyrese Haliburton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	72%	0.22	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	10	60%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	18	54%	0.14	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Kyle Guy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.05	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.17	-0.00	6	75%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.00	11	64%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	16	55%	0.11	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.10
Luke Kennard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.29,-0.2,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	0.05	21	43%	0.02	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.6	15.3	25.6	2.5	33.3	127.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +83.8%

LAC -31.1%

LAC -0.4%

LAC -3.1%

SAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	14.4	109.7	107.8	111.3
season	14.0	14.9		112.2	116.6
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.9	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	12.8	14.0	14.5	13.7
LAC	16.2	14.8	13.1	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	66	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-10	23	12.7	15.4	-2.77	15.6	12.1	3.50
Harrison Barnes	75	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-10	23	13.1	15.2	-2.09	15.4	11.9	3.56
Buddy Hield	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-4	11	13.3	15.1	-1.88	15.0	12.5	2.53
De'Aaron Fox	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	-4	11	13.2	15.0	-1.79	15.1	12.7	2.40
Marvin Bagley III	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	-5	13	12.8	14.3	-1.43	15.5	13.6	1.94
Tyrese Haliburton	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.38	-7	10	-17	14.4	12.7	1.69	13.4	15.9	-2.45
Chimezie Metu	4	4	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	1	1	14.2	13.6	0.61	12.2	14.5	-2.28
Kyle Guy	23	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	4	-5	14.3	13.5	0.83	13.0	14.8	-1.87
Cory Joseph	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	9	-15	15.2	13.1	2.07	12.3	15.2	-2.97
Glenn Robinson III	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	11	-19	15.0	13.2	1.82	12.2	15.2	-3.02
Hassan Whiteside	31	31	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	16	-29	16.1	12.6	3.44	12.1	15.5	-3.32

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	55	57	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-9	15	12.7	16.5	-3.76	14.6	12.5	2.10
Marcus Morris Sr.	55	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-12	21	12.4	16.9	-4.47	14.2	13.0	1.25
Ivica Zubac	60	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	13.0	16.5	-3.46	14.3	12.8	1.47
Reggie Jackson	69	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	2	-7	15.2	12.8	2.40	12.9	15.0	-2.10
Lou Williams	64	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.42	6	-9	15	12.7	17.3	-4.54	14.3	12.7	1.57
Serge Ibaka	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	3	-9	16.5	13.1	3.38	12.9	14.1	-1.22
Luke Kennard	38	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	6	-15	17.7	12.5	5.25	12.9	14.1	-1.16
Kawhi Leonard	72	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	3	-9	15.3	12.4	2.89	13.5	14.0	-0.52
Nicolas Batum	56	58	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.35	-14	11	-25	15.9	12.7	3.14	12.9	14.6	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.59,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.16,0	91.5%
NYK 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.28,0.23,0.05,0	91.4%
SAC 107, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.16,0	91.3%