NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	9.8 [76]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +41.9%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	1.4 [553]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (NOP): -19.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonzo Ball	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.09	0.28	0.00	13	71%	0.52	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.02	-0.00	-0.07	5	80%	0.23	4	-0.15	5	40%	-0.03
Brandon Ingram	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.08	0.15	-0.06	0.02	21	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	12	55%	-0.00	3	-0.06	9	67%	0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	6	42%	-0.04	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.12	0.31	0.00	9	78%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.07	0.04	15	69%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.02	0.04	6	106%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.13	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	8	56%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	0.06	0.01	13	27%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	10	50%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	32.2	23.5	27.9	2.7	35.1	148.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +18.9%

NOP +9.3%

NOP +63.9%

IND -46.5%

NOP +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	14.4	117.5	115.3	111.3
season	14.0	13.6		112.4	111.5
opponent	14.4	14.4		111.2	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.1	13.5	13.2	17.8	14.4
IND	16.9	15.8	14.5	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	54	55	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.40	18	-17	35	13.8	15.1	-1.29	15.7	14.5	1.16
Lonzo Ball	70	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-6	13	14.5	13.9	0.64	15.5	14.3	1.22
Brandon Ingram	76	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	-3	7	14.7	12.9	1.85	15.3	14.7	0.61
Zion Williamson	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-11	23	14.7	13.7	1.04	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Josh Hart	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.38	-8	9	-17	13.6	15.1	-1.53	15.4	15.0	0.36
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	35	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.17	-8	9	-17	14.2	14.5	-0.28	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Sindarius Thornwell	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	7	-13	11.7	14.5	-2.86	13.3	15.3	-1.97
Willy Hernangomez	37	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.17	-10	11	-21	14.6	14.2	0.39	14.1	15.8	-1.70
JJ Redick	35	34	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.01	-15	16	-31	15.1	14.0	1.11	14.4	15.6	-1.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	40	38	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.10	13	-14	27	14.8	15.4	-0.65	14.7	14.2	0.51
Aaron Holiday	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.49	12	-13	25	14.1	15.9	-1.76	15.3	13.8	1.50
T.J. McConnell	60	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.54	13	-14	27	14.2	16.7	-2.49	14.7	13.8	0.97
Justin Holiday	67	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.54	10	-11	21	14.9	15.7	-0.77	15.1	12.6	2.50
Doug McDermott	67	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.48	8	-9	17	14.8	16.1	-1.29	14.6	13.9	0.66
Jeremy Lamb	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	12	-25	15.8	14.5	1.26	13.7	15.0	-1.24
Malcolm Brogdon	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	15	-31	16.2	13.8	2.40	13.4	15.6	-2.25
Domantas Sabonis	61	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.12	-25	24	-49	16.2	13.5	2.64	13.3	16.0	-2.62
Myles Turner	51	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	6	-13	15.4	15.0	0.35	14.6	14.1	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.45,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.16,0	93.2%
PHX 100, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.16,0.05,0	92.5%
MIA 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.28,0	91.9%