NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	8.9 [159]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (POR): +30.6%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	5.0 [368]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (POR): -34.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31	0.13	0.16	-0.02	16	72%	0.38	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Nassir Little	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	0.01	-0.18	-0.02	13	54%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.16,-0.07,-0.2	0.07	-0.25	0.01	23	60%	0.01	4	-0.21	4	75%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	15	20%	-0.28	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.08	-0.02	7	73%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	23	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	4	25%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	12	73%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	16	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	11	33%	-0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	3.3	25.4	15.7	25.1	3.4	37.3	133.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -0.1%

HOU +23.4%

HOU +4.8%

HOU +21.2%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	14.4	100.0	105.1	111.3
season	14.9	14.1		116.9	106.2
opponent	14.0	14.2		113.9	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	16.1	16.0	15.2	15.2
HOU	14.2	10.3	15.3	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harry Giles III	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-1	-1	14.9	15.3	-0.38	13.7	13.5	0.18
Rodney Hood	43	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	4	-11	15.0	15.3	-0.30	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Derrick Jones Jr.	59	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-3	3	14.5	16.1	-1.62	13.4	13.9	-0.51
Nassir Little	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	6	-15	15.1	15.2	-0.11	9.9	14.0	-4.07
Carmelo Anthony	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.52	9	-12	21	15.3	14.8	0.53	14.2	11.5	2.68
Gary Trent Jr.	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	15.4	14.4	1.04	13.9	12.5	1.35
Anfernee Simons	61	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	5	-13	15.4	14.9	0.45	13.2	14.1	-0.96
Enes Kanter	67	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	15.6	14.5	1.05	13.7	13.3	0.40
Damian Lillard	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.57	1	-4	5	15.1	15.5	-0.36	13.7	13.3	0.34

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Wood	66	70	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.31	16	-13	29	12.9	15.0	-2.12	15.4	14.6	0.80
P.J. Tucker	64	64	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.60	3	0	3	13.8	13.1	0.73	15.3	14.9	0.40
Victor Oladipo	74	77	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-1	5	13.5	14.0	-0.50	15.4	14.7	0.64
John Wall	62	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	0	3	13.2	14.2	-1.05	15.1	15.4	-0.25
Eric Gordon	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	1	1	14.4	12.3	2.07	15.3	15.0	0.25
Danuel House Jr.	39	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	-6	15	13.8	13.4	0.34	15.8	14.8	1.06
David Nwaba	28	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	2	-1	12.3	14.1	-1.76	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Sterling Brown	42	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.24	5	-2	7	13.6	13.6	-0.03	15.4	15.0	0.42
Jae'Sean Tate	36	35	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.22	-13	16	-29	13.6	13.6	-0.00	14.7	15.5	-0.83
DeMarcus Cousins	24	23	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.04	-15	18	-33	15.4	13.0	2.36	13.5	15.7	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.43,0.56,0.53,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.42,1	88.2%
ORL 112, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.7,0.71,0.57,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.55,0.73,1	88.2%
TOR 97, BKN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.25,0.74,1	87.2%