NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	115		Excitement	3.6 [960]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +11.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	129		Comeback	1.0 [1088]		LVP	Cam Reddish (ATL): -8.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.23	0.01	0.13	19	79%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	8	77%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Solomon Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.17	0.01	0.16	21	69%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.04	13	66%	0.17	5	-0.06	15	60%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	79%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.05	6	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	52%	-0.03	4	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	26.4	14.7	31.2	2.4	34.3	134.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +24.9%

MIL +6.3%

MIL +20.7%

ATL -5.6%

MIL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	14.4	116.2	131.6	111.3
season	14.7	13.5		112.8	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.5		109.3	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	14.6	16.6	15.5	15.3
MIL	12.8	12.6	14.0	16.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-9	4	15.6	15.2	0.46	15.6	12.9	2.68
Tony Snell	10	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-6	-2	14.7	15.4	-0.72	17.7	13.5	4.21
Onyeka Okongwu	36	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-8	2	15.3	15.4	-0.06	11.9	15.0	-3.12
Rajon Rondo	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-7	0	14.8	16.2	-1.38	14.0	13.7	0.31
Kevin Huerter	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-6	-2	15.2	15.5	-0.27	12.6	16.2	-3.64
Brandon Goodwin	27	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	17.5	14.5	2.99	14.5	13.7	0.78
De'Andre Hunter	86	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-13	12	15.4	15.1	0.31	14.1	12.2	1.91
John Collins	77	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	15.5	14.9	0.56	13.5	15.4	-1.90
Solomon Hill	41	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	14.7	15.8	-1.09	14.6	13.4	1.20
Cam Reddish	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.44	14.2	13.5	0.68

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	2	10	13.1	16.5	-3.40	15.8	13.9	1.92
Pat Connaughton	31	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	-2	18	15.0	13.4	1.58	15.9	15.1	0.85
D.J. Augustin	28	30	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	3	8	15.0	13.4	1.56	17.5	14.4	3.09
Donte DiVincenzo	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	0	14	13.9	13.8	0.12	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Bobby Portis	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	15	-16	14.8	12.8	1.98	14.0	17.0	-3.02
Brook Lopez	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	2	10	13.3	14.6	-1.32	16.7	13.8	2.96
Khris Middleton	69	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	13	-12	13.5	14.8	-1.29	15.2	15.6	-0.32
Jrue Holiday	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	12	-10	13.4	15.2	-1.81	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Torrey Craig	28	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	10	-6	14.7	13.6	1.16	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Bryn Forbes	31	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	15	-16	14.5	13.6	0.82	13.5	16.1	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
HOU 81, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%