NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	5.8 [584]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +27.6%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	1.5 [367]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -20.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Reddish	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	17	52%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	12	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	13	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	7	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Nathan Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Trae Young	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	19	35%	-0.09	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.08	-0.04	13	79%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.04	-0.00	11	79%	0.21	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.04	-0.02	9	79%	0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	15	66%	0.08	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	14	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	45%	-0.01	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.8	14.4	25.5	2.4	34.3	131.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +63.6%

ATL -2.0%

ATL -20.0%

CHA +7.7%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.4	14.4	109.4	116.5	111.3
season	14.7	14.2		112.8	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		111.8	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	15.8	15.1	11.0	14.4
CHA	16.1	12.3	16.2	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Knight	4	5	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-9	10	8.2	14.7	-6.46	18.8	15.2	3.58
Bogdan Bogdanovic	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-7	6	14.7	14.4	0.29	15.6	15.3	0.30
De'Andre Hunter	68	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-12	16	14.2	15.1	-0.89	15.4	15.5	-0.14
Clint Capela	53	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	14.9	13.8	1.09	15.2	15.6	-0.36
John Collins	61	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-8	8	15.1	13.2	1.90	15.6	15.1	0.46
Cam Reddish	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	14.0	15.7	-1.72	15.0	16.3	-1.29
Trae Young	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	14.0	15.9	-1.91	15.6	14.9	0.70
Brandon Goodwin	25	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	4	-16	15.9	13.9	1.95	15.5	15.4	0.19
Solomon Hill	38	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	4	-16	15.4	13.8	1.54	15.4	15.4	-0.07
Kevin Huerter	66	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	3	-14	13.9	15.7	-1.79	15.3	15.7	-0.48

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	62	60	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-10	28	15.1	15.9	-0.71	14.9	13.6	1.28
Miles Bridges	50	49	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-5	18	15.5	15.3	0.20	13.9	15.0	-1.19
Caleb Martin	36	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	2	4	15.7	15.2	0.51	14.2	14.6	-0.36
P.J. Washington	75	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	3	2	15.1	16.3	-1.13	14.3	15.0	-0.78
Devonte' Graham	67	65	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	8	-8	15.5	15.3	0.20	14.3	14.7	-0.35
Terry Rozier	70	71	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	7	-6	15.6	14.9	0.71	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Gordon Hayward	72	74	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	5	-2	15.3	15.7	-0.37	14.1	15.5	-1.32
Bismack Biyombo	41	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	13	-18	16.5	14.6	1.84	15.5	13.7	1.78
Cody Martin	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	9	-10	12.4	15.8	-3.41	15.2	14.3	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 117, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MEM 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%