NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	8.1 [251]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (LAL): +20.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	2.6 [769]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -14.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.00	5	82%	0.22	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.14	0.31	-0.16	0.02	22	76%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	12	60%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	15	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Adam Mokoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	10	30%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.09	0.00	8	78%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.13	-0.02	13	59%	0.26	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.17	-0.02	11	57%	0.28	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	8	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.12	0.02	21	56%	0.04	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	27.2	14.8	31.6	2.0	34.8	136.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.8%

LAL +15.0%

LAL +4.2%

CHI -11.3%

LAL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	14.4	117.3	118.2	111.3
season	14.5	14.6		109.9	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.3		106.7	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.7	13.3	14.2	13.3	14.1
LAL	15.7	12.4	15.8	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Denzel Valentine	49	50	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.22	9	-11	20	13.7	14.5	-0.73	16.3	13.9	2.40
Otto Porter Jr.	12	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	17.0	13.7	3.30	13.9	15.3	-1.39
Daniel Gafford	32	33	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.07	0	-2	2	13.8	14.2	-0.38	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Zach LaVine	78	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-10	18	13.9	14.8	-0.88	15.4	14.1	1.25
Adam Mokoka	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	1	-4	14.1	14.1	-0.04	15.1	15.1	-0.08
Wendell Carter Jr.	50	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-2	2	15.0	13.2	1.83	15.9	14.3	1.63
Patrick Williams	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-2	2	13.7	15.1	-1.38	14.7	16.3	-1.65
Garrett Temple	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	0	-2	14.4	13.8	0.64	15.2	15.1	0.08
Thaddeus Young	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	0	-2	13.4	15.3	-1.95	15.2	15.0	0.25
Coby White	67	67	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.31	-18	16	-34	14.3	13.6	0.76	14.3	17.0	-2.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-8	18	14.6	15.9	-1.37	14.9	12.8	2.13
LeBron James	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-7	16	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.2	13.8	0.40
Marc Gasol	37	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-10	22	14.2	15.7	-1.42	15.5	13.2	2.33
Jared Dudley	14	13	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-3	8	17.4	14.8	2.59	14.2	14.1	0.15
Alex Caruso	37	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	1	0	15.4	15.0	0.39	13.6	14.4	-0.83
Dennis Schroder	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	7	-12	15.4	14.4	0.97	14.2	13.8	0.49
Talen Horton-Tucker	42	40	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	1	0	15.2	15.1	0.19	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Wesley Matthews	68	70	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.34	-6	8	-14	15.1	15.3	-0.18	14.0	14.3	-0.26
Montrezl Harrell	62	60	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	13	-24	15.7	14.2	1.42	13.2	15.5	-2.33
Kyle Kuzma	37	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	8	-14	15.1	15.2	-0.12	13.0	14.7	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.96,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.7%
PHI 95, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.97,1	93.4%
POR 90, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.9%