NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	120		Excitement	5.2 [697]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +15.8%
Atlanta Hawks	128		Comeback	1.4 [1066]		LVP	Svi Mykhailiuk (DET): -6.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.16	0.03	0.07	19	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	20	59%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Delon Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	9	69%	0.09	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Sekou Doumbouya	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Killian Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	10	85%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.02	0.06	13	71%	0.18	3	-0.05	15	100%	0.06
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	11	46%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	29.5	15.4	27.4	2.5	35.5	134.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +63.3%

ATL +3.3%

DET -0.6%

DET -16.3%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.4	120.0	125.5	111.3
season	15.0	14.7		107.0	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.2		111.4	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	12.8	15.3	13.3	14.4
ATL	14.1	14.4	14.0	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sekou Doumbouya	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-4	0	14.3	14.5	-0.15	14.4	14.0	0.43
Isaiah Stewart	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.03	-4	-4	0	15.1	14.1	0.92	14.4	14.0	0.38
Saddiq Bey	62	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-12	16	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.7	13.2	1.45
Wayne Ellington	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	14.3	14.5	-0.18	13.7	14.4	-0.69
Delon Wright	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	14.1	14.7	-0.66	14.2	14.0	0.21
Svi Mykhailiuk	30	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	3	-14	15.5	14.0	1.50	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Josh Jackson	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	14.2	14.7	-0.55	13.9	14.4	-0.56
Killian Hayes	60	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-5	2	14.8	13.9	0.91	14.0	14.2	-0.13
Mason Plumlee	70	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-4	0	14.1	15.1	-0.92	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Jerami Grant	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-4	0	14.5	14.3	0.15	14.0	14.4	-0.43

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	57	55	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	3	2	14.1	14.1	-0.02	13.5	15.6	-2.06
Bruno Fernando	24	24	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-10	28	12.7	14.5	-1.87	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Solomon Hill	46	45	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-6	20	12.8	15.1	-2.32	13.8	14.9	-1.13
Bogdan Bogdanovic	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-1	10	14.0	14.3	-0.38	14.6	14.1	0.51
Trae Young	71	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	8	-8	14.3	13.7	0.60	13.9	15.6	-1.69
De'Andre Hunter	68	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	9	-10	14.3	13.6	0.72	14.0	15.3	-1.28
Rajon Rondo	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	0	8	13.7	14.3	-0.60	15.6	13.9	1.69
John Collins	55	53	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	8	-8	13.9	14.4	-0.49	15.5	13.2	2.36
Cam Reddish	55	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	11	-14	14.7	13.4	1.33	15.1	13.6	1.57
Clint Capela	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	18	-28	15.7	13.0	2.68	14.7	14.2	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
ORL 89, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%