NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Excitement	9.8 [75]		MVP	Danuel House Jr. (HOU): +23.2%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	1.2 [611]		LVP	Ty Jerome (OKC): -21.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.00	6	100%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.03	11	68%	0.23	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.09	0.02	12	46%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Roby	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.08	1	-0.04	7	86%	-0.01
Moses Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Luguentz Dort	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	22	50%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.06
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	41%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Ty Jerome	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	6	15%	-0.12	1	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.01	9	90%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.01	15	74%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.02	16	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.08
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.08,0.06,-0.21	-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	18	50%	-0.13	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.9	14.7	26.5	1.7	35.1	132.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +35.5%

HOU -1.1%

OKC +27.1%

HOU -11.8%

OKC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	13.4	14.4	111.8	110.9	111.3
season	14.2	14.1		102.4	106.2
opponent	14.0	14.0		113.9	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	14.3	14.1	16.4	14.9
HOU	13.2	13.9	13.6	13.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	62	60	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-8	18	14.0	16.4	-2.37	13.8	13.0	0.82
Theo Maledon	71	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	0	2	14.9	15.0	-0.10	12.7	15.1	-2.38
Kenrich Williams	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-7	16	14.4	15.3	-0.96	14.9	12.3	2.53
Aleksej Pokusevski	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	6	-10	15.5	14.1	1.41	12.3	15.2	-2.88
Luguentz Dort	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	7	-12	15.6	13.5	2.13	12.8	14.7	-1.88
Isaiah Roby	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	6	-10	15.9	12.8	3.10	12.9	14.6	-1.66
Moses Brown	61	60	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	0	2	14.7	15.3	-0.60	13.7	13.1	0.57
Svi Mykhailiuk	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	0	2	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.0	12.3	2.76

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sterling Brown	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	3	-8	14.1	13.1	0.99	13.5	15.8	-2.24
Christian Wood	75	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.46	9	-11	20	13.1	14.3	-1.12	15.6	12.9	2.70
Kenyon Martin Jr.	32	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	6	-14	14.0	13.2	0.87	12.4	16.0	-3.54
Jae'Sean Tate	68	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.52	10	-12	22	13.4	13.5	-0.03	15.8	13.0	2.86
D.J. Wilson	20	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	9	-20	13.5	13.4	0.08	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Victor Oladipo	85	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-7	12	13.4	13.4	0.07	15.2	13.4	1.77
John Wall	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-8	14	13.3	13.7	-0.43	15.9	12.5	3.40
Danuel House Jr.	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-1	0	13.1	14.1	-1.00	15.5	13.6	1.85
Kevin Porter Jr.	44	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	13	-28	13.6	13.3	0.32	12.8	16.5	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.45,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	92.6%
CHH 97, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	92.3%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	91.7%