NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	134		Excitement	10.7 [53]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +83.7%
Dallas Mavericks	131		Comeback	3.8 [383]		LVP	Trey Burke (DAL): -22.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.84	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.95,0.84	0.43	0.42	0.01	32	74%	0.92	3	-0.09	18	100%	0.18
Carmelo Anthony	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.15	0.21	-0.02	17	68%	0.42	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25	0.08	0.18	0.00	3	100%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	79%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	0.00	9	33%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
CJ McCollum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	14	26%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.30	0.16	0.02	17	90%	0.63	2	-0.19	6	83%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.15	0.01	11	77%	0.36	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.09
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.12	0.01	8	94%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.15	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	19	53%	0.07	6	-0.20	9	78%	-0.11
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.22	-0.22	0.02	-0.24	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	2	-0.31	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	27.3	15.7	28.0	2.5	47.4	148.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -21.2%

POR +17.5%

DAL -10.4%

POR +66.2%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.7	14.2	124.1	123.6	109.6
season	14.4	14.5		111.9	115.2
opponent	14.1	13.9		111.3	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	13.2	13.0	13.2	13.2
DAL	14.2	13.5	12.7	14.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	81	81	1.02	-0.52	1.55	0.32	24	-21	45	12.6	15.1	-2.57	13.7	13.8	-0.19
Carmelo Anthony	79	77	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.60	12	-9	21	13.2	13.4	-0.21	13.7	13.6	0.15
Hassan Whiteside	43	40	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-12	27	14.2	12.6	1.56	13.1	14.1	-0.96
Damian Lillard	91	91	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	-5	13	12.9	15.2	-2.32	13.9	12.3	1.67
Mario Hezonja	53	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	-4	11	13.2	13.3	-0.14	13.1	14.2	-1.17
CJ McCollum	86	83	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.44	-25	28	-53	13.8	10.9	2.96	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Zach Collins	50	47	-0.74	1.24	-1.98	-0.18	-19	22	-41	14.5	12.1	2.34	13.9	13.6	0.27

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	51	51	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.19	4	-7	11	13.0	14.3	-1.35	14.2	12.4	1.81
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	15	16	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.08	3	-6	9	13.7	13.7	-0.04	14.2	13.0	1.21
Boban Marjanovic	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	4	-11	12.7	13.9	-1.18	12.4	13.4	-0.99
Kristaps Porzingis	79	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-4	5	14.1	12.6	1.53	13.1	13.5	-0.42
Dorian Finney-Smith	65	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-12	21	13.4	14.2	-0.81	13.5	12.7	0.75
Justin Jackson	19	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	9	-21	13.1	13.8	-0.79	12.0	13.5	-1.47
Trey Burke	69	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-5	7	14.0	13.1	0.99	12.7	14.2	-1.52
Maxi Kleber	55	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	7	-17	13.9	13.5	0.48	14.1	12.2	1.98
Luka Doncic	78	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.50	-3	0	-3	13.5	14.3	-0.80	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	82	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	-1	-1	14.1	12.2	1.87	12.8	14.6	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.71,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 88, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.27,0	90.6%
DAL 94, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.77,0.42,0	90.5%
IND 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.44,0.4,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.42,0	90.1%