NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	132		Excitement	11.0 [40]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +47.6%
Dallas Mavericks	136		Comeback	58.5 [20]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -15.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	-0.00	-0.02	27	58%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	12	78%	0.28	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Eric Bledsoe	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.25,-0.18,-0.16	0.00	-0.12	0.04	26	52%	0.01	4	-0.16	14	50%	-0.07

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.48	0.48	0.17	0.29	-0.02	24	62%	0.58	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.10
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.15	0.25	-0.00	8	83%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.00	-0.01	19	67%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	24	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	13	36%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	11	36%	-0.07	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	31.6	3.5	32.4	14.8	32.5	2.6	34.7	2.3	15.5	170.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +3.5%

DAL +24.2%

DAL +16.8%

DAL +14.6%

MIL -9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	12.9	14.2	14.2	113.8	115.3	109.6
season	13.2	14.5		111.0	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.1		111.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	14.0	12.6	12.9	13.8	9.7	12.9
DAL	13.2	14.0	14.2	15.0	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	53	57	0.79	-1.29	2.08	0.09	24	-28	52	11.4	14.3	-2.86	14.2	14.2	0.05
Marvin Williams	47	46	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-9	14	13.3	12.7	0.52	13.4	14.7	-1.36
George Hill	68	71	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.35	13	-17	30	13.3	12.5	0.84	13.5	15.3	-1.79
Donte DiVincenzo	49	52	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-7	10	12.3	13.4	-1.15	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Ersan Ilyasova	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-1	-2	13.4	12.9	0.46	14.4	14.2	0.17
Brook Lopez	78	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-8	12	13.1	12.6	0.47	14.4	13.8	0.60
Kyle Korver	8	7	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	3	-10	11.9	13.0	-1.15	6.3	14.7	-8.44
Eric Bledsoe	66	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	7	-18	12.6	13.4	-0.72	14.6	13.6	1.01
Wesley Matthews	59	58	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.16	-20	16	-36	14.2	11.7	2.52	14.2	14.2	0.01
Khris Middleton	79	77	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.56	-7	3	-10	12.8	13.2	-0.43	15.3	12.2	3.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	75	-1.04	0.54	-1.57	-0.57	-16	12	-28	13.5	12.0	1.51	14.6	13.6	0.93

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	48	48	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.62	5	-1	6	13.9	14.5	-0.58	12.6	13.2	-0.59
Luka Doncic	94	92	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.41	12	-8	20	13.8	15.9	-2.08	13.0	12.7	0.25
Justin Jackson	44	42	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-9	22	12.1	15.5	-3.32	11.9	13.5	-1.60
Dorian Finney-Smith	94	93	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	3	-2	14.6	12.7	1.90	12.9	13.2	-0.34
Trey Burke	49	47	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-6	16	12.6	15.3	-2.72	13.3	12.7	0.59
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	9	8	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	0	4	12.0	14.4	-2.40	12.9	13.0	-0.08
Kristaps Porzingis	85	85	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	9	-14	15.1	11.9	3.21	13.2	12.3	0.94
Seth Curry	46	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	8	-12	15.3	13.5	1.78	12.7	13.1	-0.36
Delon Wright	43	43	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.12	-9	13	-22	13.9	14.4	-0.53	13.5	12.6	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.87,0.77,0.7,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.15,0.02,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.97,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.96,1	89.3%
PHI 115, IND 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.84,0.7,0.59,0.72,0.47,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.53,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	86.8%
MIA 98, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	85.6%