NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	9.6 [114]		MVP	T.J. Warren (IND): +58.3%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	3.5 [237]		LVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): -35.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinn Cook	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.00	14	75%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.00	5	67%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.09	0.02	24	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Kyle Kuzma	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	14	33%	-0.06	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	31%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.35	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	14	27%	-0.19	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.58	0.58	0.28	0.31	0.02	22	81%	0.66	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.20	-0.00	13	80%	0.50	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.06
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	117%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	17	61%	0.17	6	-0.24	2	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	8	35%	-0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	28.3	15.8	27.2	3.3	36.3	141.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +92.2%

IND +2.0%

LAL -24.2%

LAL -20.1%

IND +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	14.2	108.8	113.7	109.6
season	14.2	14.4		111.8	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.4		107.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	13.1	15.5	15.6	14.1
IND	13.0	15.1	14.0	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	26	25	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.00	16	-21	37	13.2	14.5	-1.33	15.5	13.6	1.90
Talen Horton-Tucker	35	33	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-14	23	13.1	14.7	-1.53	15.5	13.4	2.15
LeBron James	74	76	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.32	14	-19	33	13.6	15.7	-2.16	14.6	12.5	2.08
Dwight Howard	38	38	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.34	13	-18	31	15.4	13.4	1.99	15.6	13.2	2.38
JaVale McGee	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	14.7	13.9	0.83	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Kyle Kuzma	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	5	-15	13.4	14.9	-1.49	13.6	14.6	-0.94
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	68	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.05	-19	14	-33	14.9	12.6	2.29	13.5	15.2	-1.65
Alex Caruso	59	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	7	-19	14.3	13.9	0.42	13.1	15.5	-2.42
Quinn Cook	52	51	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.44	-10	5	-15	14.0	14.3	-0.38	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Anthony Davis	76	77	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.35	-21	16	-37	14.5	13.2	1.33	13.6	15.5	-1.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Warren	80	80	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.38	23	-18	41	13.3	16.8	-3.42	14.3	13.5	0.88
Aaron Holiday	75	75	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.41	22	-17	39	13.6	15.4	-1.84	14.6	13.0	1.56
Victor Oladipo	76	76	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.42	19	-14	33	13.3	16.3	-2.93	14.3	13.7	0.61
Myles Turner	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	3	-1	14.0	14.2	-0.21	15.8	12.6	3.16
Goga Bitadze	28	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	5	-5	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.4	14.1	0.39
Malcolm Brogdon	82	81	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.44	-16	21	-37	14.4	12.7	1.73	14.2	13.8	0.49
JaKarr Sampson	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	4	-3	13.2	14.4	-1.23	11.3	15.1	-3.86
T.J. McConnell	39	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	2	1	14.3	14.0	0.31	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Doug McDermott	26	26	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.07	-14	19	-33	16.3	13.3	2.93	13.7	14.3	-0.61
Justin Holiday	30	31	-0.54	1.04	-1.57	-0.10	-15	20	-35	16.1	13.2	2.85	13.2	14.5	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.65,0.66,0.38,0.26,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.58,1	89.2%
LAC 97, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.92,1	88.9%
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	88.6%