NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	124		Excitement	7.0 [448]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +57.3%
Boston Celtics	128		Comeback	2.8 [497]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -18.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.42,0.42	0.20	0.26	0.05	12	87%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.19	-0.01	17	50%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	20	61%	0.22	5	-0.16	9	100%	0.03
Hassan Whiteside	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	0.03	0.02	14	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.16,-0.19	0.15	-0.21	0.12	20	67%	-0.14	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.57	0.57	0.22	0.36	0.00	18	71%	0.58	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.17	0.04	10	85%	0.36	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.11
Daniel Theis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	6	100%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.01	0.07	22	64%	0.20	2	-0.10	9	78%	0.03
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.8	26.2	15.4	29.5	2.8	42.2	146.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +17.1%

BOS +31.3%

BOS +0.1%

POR -5.1%

BOS +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.8	14.2	124.0	132.0	109.6
season	14.4	14.5		111.9	112.0
opponent	14.4	13.9		105.8	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	14.8	14.0	13.7	14.5
BOS	13.9	15.2	16.0	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	33	31	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.10	9	-13	22	14.2	14.6	-0.35	15.3	14.5	0.73
Zach Collins	56	55	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-13	22	14.2	14.9	-0.73	15.5	13.8	1.68
Gary Trent Jr.	73	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.51	8	-12	20	14.1	15.6	-1.47	14.2	16.3	-2.18
Mario Hezonja	25	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	12	-28	15.6	14.1	1.44	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Damian Lillard	93	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-7	10	14.2	17.9	-3.63	14.6	17.4	-2.87
CJ McCollum	85	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.4	0.09	14.8	14.7	0.08
Carmelo Anthony	69	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	9	-22	14.9	13.5	1.44	15.2	13.9	1.30
Jusuf Nurkic	66	65	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.48	-13	9	-22	14.8	13.9	0.86	14.6	15.1	-0.45

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	71	73	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-5	14	14.4	15.8	-1.48	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Enes Kanter	40	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-12	28	15.0	14.6	0.45	14.6	14.4	0.16
Jayson Tatum	79	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	-2	8	15.1	13.2	1.89	14.6	14.2	0.40
Jaylen Brown	73	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	14.7	15.0	-0.26	14.5	14.3	0.23
Marcus Smart	66	70	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	8	-12	14.3	15.8	-1.49	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Kemba Walker	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-3	10	15.4	14.2	1.19	14.9	14.2	0.69
Grant Williams	17	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	8	-12	11.0	15.6	-4.56	13.6	14.7	-1.00
Semi Ojeleye	19	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	4	-4	15.7	14.5	1.21	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Daniel Theis	56	57	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	14	-24	14.8	14.7	0.14	14.7	14.2	0.43
Brad Wanamaker	19	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	7	-10	16.8	14.3	2.59	14.3	14.5	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	92.4%
LAL 92, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.85,1	90.4%
LAC 111, MEM 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	90.0%