NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	121		Excitement	8.4 [222]		MVP	T.J. Warren (IND): +64.5%
Indiana Pacers	127		Comeback	8.4 [104]		LVP	TJ Leaf (IND): -11.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.28	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28	0.18	0.15	0.06	23	71%	0.39	4	-0.11	12	83%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	14	56%	0.15	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.05
Matisse Thybulle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.09	-0.08	-0.01	29	49%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.00	9	53%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	112%	0.11	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.64	0.65	0.48	0.21	0.05	29	85%	0.68	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.01	10	60%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	90%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	6	62%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	9	30%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.8	29.6	15.3	28.9	2.0	37.3	143.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.1%

IND +2.0%

PHI -32.7%

IND +32.9%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	13.6	14.2	117.5	119.8	109.6
season	14.8	14.4		110.0	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.1		107.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.7	13.7	14.3	15.3	14.0
IND	13.0	14.0	14.0	13.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	72	76	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.28	19	-25	44	14.0	14.0	-0.01	14.0	12.5	1.49
Raul Neto	43	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-20	34	14.7	13.5	1.18	14.2	13.2	0.95
Furkan Korkmaz	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.17	-8	2	-10	12.7	14.5	-1.82	12.5	14.1	-1.62
Alec Burks	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-4	2	14.0	13.9	0.05	14.6	13.3	1.29
Shake Milton	48	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	13.7	14.2	-0.43	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	0	-6	12.4	14.5	-2.15	14.4	13.3	1.03
Tobias Harris	75	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-6	6	14.5	12.4	2.15	13.6	13.7	-0.18
Josh Richardson	62	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	3	-12	14.7	12.8	1.96	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Ben Simmons	82	84	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.42	-9	3	-12	14.3	12.7	1.63	13.4	14.5	-1.19
Al Horford	53	53	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.02	-26	20	-46	12.8	15.2	-2.45	12.7	14.5	-1.85

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	75	73	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.39	17	-11	28	13.1	14.7	-1.61	14.6	12.5	2.06
T.J. Warren	91	88	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.33	18	-12	30	13.2	16.3	-3.18	13.9	14.1	-0.12
Victor Oladipo	69	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-3	12	13.3	14.2	-0.98	14.2	13.4	0.81
Justin Holiday	80	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	1	4	13.8	13.1	0.70	14.9	10.9	4.02
JaKarr Sampson	46	41	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-14	34	13.3	13.9	-0.61	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Myles Turner	42	43	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.43	-13	19	-32	14.2	13.2	1.05	14.4	13.6	0.83
TJ Leaf	18	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	7	-8	13.0	13.7	-0.73	13.7	14.0	-0.34
T.J. McConnell	40	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	14.2	13.2	1.00	13.0	14.5	-1.52
Edmond Sumner	28	27	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.06	-11	17	-28	14.8	13.2	1.65	13.0	14.3	-1.30
Doug McDermott	41	39	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.07	-11	17	-28	14.3	13.2	1.08	12.1	15.1	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.53,0.6,0.81,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.91,1,1	90.8%
MIA 77, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1	90.5%
DAL 70, LAL 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.84,1	90.0%