NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	4.6 [827]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +23.1%
Washington Wizards	118		Comeback	1.5 [727]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -10.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.02	0.07	15	74%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.1,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	17	80%	0.21	7	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	38%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.23	0.04	0.04	21	80%	0.30	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	12	50%	0.11	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	10	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.04	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	6	19%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.2	14.7	31.2	1.6	36.2	137.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +10.7%

WAS +19.2%

WAS +14.0%

WAS +5.0%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	14.2	110.9	115.7	109.6
season	13.8	13.7		106.6	109.8
opponent	14.0	14.0		114.2	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.2	15.3	13.9	12.6	13.8
WAS	15.0	12.0	14.9	16.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	62	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-14	22	13.1	14.9	-1.79	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Vince Carter	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-7	8	14.1	13.6	0.44	14.6	14.6	0.00
John Collins	58	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-11	16	13.2	14.5	-1.25	16.1	12.4	3.73
Bruno Fernando	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	1	-8	13.5	13.9	-0.37	12.3	15.6	-3.26
Brandon Goodwin	22	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	2	-10	13.9	13.7	0.12	13.5	14.9	-1.46
Jeff Teague	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-11	16	13.2	14.6	-1.42	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Treveon Graham	36	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	1	-8	13.7	13.8	-0.12	14.4	14.7	-0.37
Dewayne Dedmon	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	5	-16	14.3	13.4	0.96	14.4	14.7	-0.31
De'Andre Hunter	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	0	-6	14.4	11.8	2.59	15.1	13.0	2.09
Kevin Huerter	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	4	-14	14.2	12.2	1.94	14.7	14.4	0.27

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	68	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	-2	10	15.2	13.3	1.91	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Bradley Beal	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	-1	8	15.1	12.8	2.29	13.8	13.6	0.27
Shabazz Napier	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-11	28	14.7	14.5	0.11	15.0	12.7	2.26
Thomas Bryant	51	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	-2	10	15.5	13.7	1.78	14.0	13.6	0.44
Jerome Robinson	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	-1	8	14.5	14.8	-0.27	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Troy Brown Jr.	62	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	11	-16	13.7	16.0	-2.39	13.4	14.4	-1.04
Davis Bertans	59	59	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.28	-5	11	-16	13.9	15.5	-1.58	13.0	14.8	-1.78
Moritz Wagner	38	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	7	-8	14.0	14.9	-0.91	14.4	13.3	1.12
Isaac Bonga	27	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	12	-18	14.3	14.7	-0.41	13.0	14.1	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 87, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ORL 56, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SEA 91, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%