NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	4.8 [808]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +23.5%
Atlanta Hawks	129		Comeback	2.2 [557]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (POR): -9.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	26	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	9	48%	0.07	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	12	58%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	14	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.05
Mario Hezonja	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	13	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.01	12	92%	0.27	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	10	79%	0.16	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.02	14	77%	0.19	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	5	109%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	18	54%	0.10	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.05
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	85%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	27.4	14.6	33.4	2.3	27.5	132.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.1%

ATL +16.1%

POR -3.5%

ATL +0.1%

POR -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.6	14.2	113.6	124.0	109.6
season	14.4	13.8		111.9	106.6
opponent	14.0	13.9		113.9	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	16.2	13.5	11.9	14.3
ATL	12.7	12.1	12.7	16.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-17	22	11.9	15.1	-3.28	16.5	12.6	3.97
Nassir Little	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-12	12	12.4	14.8	-2.42	13.5	13.6	-0.05
Caleb Swanigan	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-13	14	13.0	14.7	-1.71	14.2	13.4	0.85
Anfernee Simons	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-7	2	15.2	13.8	1.39	11.8	14.4	-2.65
Wenyen Gabriel	41	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.0	14.4	-0.41	12.6	14.1	-1.47
Hassan Whiteside	64	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-9	6	14.3	14.2	0.15	14.0	12.8	1.24
Trevor Ariza	78	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	14.8	12.7	2.10	13.5	13.7	-0.25
CJ McCollum	83	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	14.2	14.4	-0.22	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Gary Trent Jr.	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	7	-26	14.9	13.3	1.51	13.2	14.1	-0.84
Carmelo Anthony	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	1	-14	14.8	12.6	2.22	13.7	13.0	0.69

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	0	12	14.0	11.9	2.13	14.7	12.8	1.93
Trae Young	75	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	4	4	13.8	12.9	0.92	14.5	13.6	0.90
Cam Reddish	53	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-2	16	12.7	14.5	-1.79	15.7	12.9	2.80
John Collins	83	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	5	2	13.7	13.1	0.58	13.6	16.3	-2.69
Kevin Huerter	78	77	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.20	3	9	-6	13.8	12.7	1.15	13.4	16.7	-3.29
Damian Jones	12	11	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	2	8	10.9	13.9	-2.99	16.8	14.0	2.85
Treveon Graham	28	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	7	-2	13.4	13.6	-0.23	13.7	14.5	-0.76
Jeff Teague	38	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	8	-4	12.6	14.1	-1.54	14.5	14.1	0.37
Brandon Goodwin	12	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	9	-6	12.8	13.7	-0.82	15.2	14.1	1.10
Bruno Fernando	35	37	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	16	-20	13.9	13.4	0.54	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Vince Carter	26	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	14	-16	14.5	13.2	1.31	13.1	14.7	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 80, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
TOR 95, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%