NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	9.4 [128]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +40.0%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	8.4 [442]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (POR): -13.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.40	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.35,0.4	0.19	0.22	0.02	30	67%	0.48	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	23	54%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Gary Trent Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wenyen Gabriel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	31%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	24%	-0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.35	0.35	0.17	0.20	0.01	16	69%	0.38	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	10	67%	0.18	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.13	3	-0.13	6	33%	-0.06
Juwan Morgan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	16	44%	0.00	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.8	31.2	15.4	29.5	2.8	30.8	142.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.7%

UTA +6.9%

UTA +54.4%

POR -26.0%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	14.2	112.9	113.6	109.6
season	14.4	14.9		111.9	112.1
opponent	14.2	13.9		109.4	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	13.7	14.9	15.3	14.4
UTA	13.7	12.0	12.8	17.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-5	7	13.6	14.5	-0.97	14.0	13.8	0.21
Trevor Ariza	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-1	-1	15.0	14.3	0.65	13.7	13.8	-0.17
Wenyen Gabriel	21	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	4	-11	14.4	14.4	-0.07	13.6	13.9	-0.28
Mario Hezonja	58	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	0	-3	14.5	14.3	0.19	12.3	15.9	-3.57
Caleb Swanigan	58	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-4	5	14.1	15.0	-0.90	14.4	13.0	1.45
Carmelo Anthony	80	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.42	5	-8	13	14.6	13.7	0.97	14.2	12.2	2.03
Damian Lillard	90	93	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.48	6	-9	15	14.2	16.0	-1.76	14.1	11.4	2.66
CJ McCollum	87	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-2	1	14.8	12.1	2.66	14.0	12.6	1.36
Gary Trent Jr.	81	82	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.31	-16	13	-29	14.2	15.2	-0.95	13.6	14.5	-0.90

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	61	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-1	5	14.2	13.3	0.88	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Jordan Clarkson	44	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-14	31	13.1	14.4	-1.29	15.1	13.9	1.14
Joe Ingles	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.39	-3	6	-9	14.0	13.3	0.72	14.4	14.4	0.04
Rudy Gobert	77	75	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.45	-6	9	-15	13.7	14.1	-0.36	13.8	16.2	-2.31
Donovan Mitchell	77	75	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.45	-6	9	-15	13.7	14.1	-0.36	13.8	16.2	-2.31
Tony Bradley	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	-6	15	13.6	13.9	-0.25	16.2	13.9	2.31
Georges Niang	18	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	-7	17	13.4	13.9	-0.51	15.3	14.2	1.02
Juwan Morgan	3	3	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	17.7	13.7	3.98	15.7	14.4	1.27
Mike Conley	67	64	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	5	-7	13.9	13.6	0.34	15.2	13.1	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.93,0.75,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	91.5%
BOS 85, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.73,1	90.4%
MIA 87, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.31,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.83,1	90.3%