inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 109 Excitement9.9 [95] MVPZach LaVine (CHI): +46.1%
Chicago Bulls 110 Comeback9.1 [182] LVPKris Dunn (CHI): -21.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.350,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.350.120.250.022161%0.423-0.071782%-0.24
Patty Mills0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.220.210.010.001576%0.2200.003100%0.02
Lonnie Walker IV0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00462%0.0500.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.02756%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Rudy Gay-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.03-0.02664%0.063-0.092100%0.02
Bryn Forbes-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chimezie Metu-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jakob Poeltl-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.06-0.011250%-0.052-0.03825%-0.24
Derrick White-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0130%-0.051-0.0300%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.460.460.030.470.032246%0.4600.006100%0.10
Thaddeus Young0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.150.150.050.100.001154%0.1500.00250%-0.01
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.010.001080%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.030.10-0.001055%0.161-0.042100%0.01
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.10.100.060.060.02965%0.141-0.042100%0.02
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chandler Hutchison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00753%0.0400.0010%-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Coby White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.001339%-0.042-0.06250%-0.02
Kris Dunn0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21-0.21-0.05-0.160.00956%-0.024-0.1900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.423.514.727.22.542.2136.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +11.4%
CHI +37.6%
CHI +7.8%
SAS -14.1%
CHI +7.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCHINBASASCHINBA
this game14.714.914.2111.2113.4109.6
season14.114.1110.8105.3
opponent14.414.2108.2112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.714.414.515.114.7
CHI15.315.014.314.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryn Forbes46450.05-0.550.600.11-21-315.214.20.9213.615.9-2.34
Chimezie Metu2220-0.01-0.490.480.14-54-916.614.12.5215.514.70.81
Trey Lyles5553-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-3515.014.20.8014.615.2-0.64
Lonnie Walker IV2929-0.09-0.410.310.14-87-1514.714.70.0114.914.90.01
DeMar DeRozan7171-0.21-0.290.08-0.5612-132515.013.81.2015.114.11.01
Jakob Poeltl7476-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.436-71314.016.9-2.9614.715.6-0.91
Dejounte Murray4744-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.29-10-115.513.91.6314.215.4-1.15
Patty Mills5758-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.463-4714.015.7-1.7215.713.62.12
Rudy Gay4343-0.600.10-0.69-0.36-87-1514.814.60.1914.914.90.01
Derrick White4646-0.610.11-0.72-0.49-43-713.415.8-2.3915.614.21.35

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Kornet64650.93-0.431.350.4018-173513.916.7-2.8415.213.61.67
Denzel Valentine38380.84-0.341.190.2919-183714.115.3-1.1916.113.82.32
Tomas Satoransky60600.470.030.440.412-1314.016.2-2.2014.015.8-1.76
Zach LaVine70720.340.160.190.58-89-1715.213.91.3914.315.7-1.32
Kris Dunn71740.300.200.100.51-78-1515.214.01.1714.615.0-0.42
Ryan Arcidiacono10100.080.42-0.34-0.044-3713.715.0-1.2915.814.61.24
Chandler Hutchison4039-0.210.71-0.91-0.2310114.914.80.1616.313.62.70
Coby White4343-0.210.71-0.91-0.12-34-715.514.41.1414.015.2-1.26
Cristiano Felicio2928-0.521.02-1.54-0.05-1617-3317.113.93.2114.514.7-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.91,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 79, UTA 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.98,191.3%
ATL 88, PHX 930.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.73,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.92,191.1%
UTA 86, SAS 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.63,0.9,0.84,191.0%