NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	3.5 [1001]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +28.8%
LA Clippers	128		Comeback	1.2 [1129]		LVP	Brandon Knight (CLE): -7.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	13	75%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	18	68%	0.14	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	70%	0.00	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Tyler Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	16	41%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	6	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.35	0.02	0.09	22	80%	0.32	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	13	86%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.03	0.04	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Walton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	40%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.7	25.4	14.4	25.4	0.2	27.2	119.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.2%

LAC +4.4%

LAC +12.5%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.1	14.2	103.0	129.3	109.6
season	15.1	13.8		106.3	113.2
opponent	14.4	13.8		107.0	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.3	16.8	16.5	13.0	15.8
LAC	14.0	12.5	12.3	13.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Cook	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-30	35	13.5	16.1	-2.65	15.7	12.7	3.01
Matthew Dellavedova	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-35	45	13.0	16.9	-3.83	13.6	12.9	0.73
Dean Wade	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-25	25	12.6	17.4	-4.86	13.0	13.1	-0.10
John Henson	41	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	-18	11	14.7	16.6	-1.90	12.6	13.4	-0.76
Dante Exum	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-19	13	14.2	17.2	-3.04	13.2	13.1	0.10
Alfonzo McKinnie	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-22	19	16.6	15.3	1.28	14.7	12.0	2.68
Brandon Knight	54	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.35	-21	-4	-17	16.1	15.5	0.69	13.0	13.2	-0.14
Larry Nance Jr.	37	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	-5	-15	18.1	14.5	3.62	12.0	13.7	-1.77
Cedi Osman	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	-6	-13	17.2	14.5	2.73	12.6	13.6	-0.93
Darius Garland	59	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.29	-24	-1	-23	15.6	16.1	-0.45	13.1	13.1	-0.08
Collin Sexton	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-8	-9	17.0	14.2	2.80	12.9	13.3	-0.40
Tristan Thompson	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	-2	-21	17.4	14.4	2.97	12.8	13.4	-0.56

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	57	59	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.59	39	-14	53	12.7	13.7	-1.02	17.1	14.0	3.02
Landry Shamet	53	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.56	37	-12	49	12.4	13.9	-1.44	16.9	14.6	2.29
Patrick Beverley	44	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.22	24	1	23	13.3	12.9	0.39	18.0	14.2	3.77
Maurice Harkless	54	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.57	35	-10	45	12.2	14.1	-1.89	16.8	14.6	2.17
Ivica Zubac	49	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.24	23	2	21	12.5	13.7	-1.21	17.4	14.3	3.09
Montrezl Harrell	42	44	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	22	-19	13.2	13.0	0.16	14.4	16.9	-2.50
JaMychal Green	45	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.34	-10	35	-45	14.1	12.2	1.89	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Lou Williams	39	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.18	7	18	-11	13.1	13.1	0.00	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Rodney McGruder	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	29	-33	12.3	13.5	-1.20	14.2	16.6	-2.42
Terance Mann	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	35	-45	13.6	12.9	0.73	13.0	16.9	-3.83
Derrick Walton Jr.	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	32	-39	17.1	12.7	4.45	12.4	16.2	-3.81
Patrick Patterson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	16.4	12.8	3.56	13.6	16.0	-2.43
Jerome Robinson	34	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	36	-47	13.8	12.8	1.01	14.2	16.7	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.72,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
IND 64, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAS 100, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%