inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 105 Excitement7.9 [301] MVPMarco Belinelli (SAS): +35.2%
Toronto Raptors 104 Comeback30.9 [31] LVPPascal Siakam (TOR): -26.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.350.030.330.00462%0.3500.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.140.110.070.031266%0.202-0.061479%0.07
Derrick White0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.140.050.07-0.02959%0.161-0.02475%0.00
Rudy Gay0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02962%0.081-0.02683%0.01
Patty Mills0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.060.08-0.001233%0.041-0.01367%-0.00
Trey Lyles-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02956%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jakob Poeltl-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00367%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011035%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.10.01-0.12-0.021048%-0.021-0.07333%-0.16

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.34,0.340.340.110.21-0.021666%0.351-0.0100%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.070.070.12-0.040.011471%0.151-0.0800%0.00
OG Anunoby0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.02573%0.0600.001100%0.00
Matt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01558%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Patrick McCaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.03333%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Oshae Brissett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.001550%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.02-0.02941%0.022-0.04475%-0.00
Terence Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.110.00-0.0260%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.26-0.26-0.03-0.24-0.011742%-0.241-0.03250%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.625.515.530.41.632.0133.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +24.4%
SAS +17.2%
SAS +7.3%
TOR -1.8%
SAS +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASTORNBASASTORNBA
this game14.414.014.2104.0102.0109.6
season14.114.0110.8109.9
opponent14.514.2104.2112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.613.715.113.314.4
TOR13.213.014.914.914.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick White56570.93-0.431.360.3719-183713.415.7-2.3114.613.21.46
Patty Mills59590.80-0.301.100.3914-132713.415.9-2.4814.613.11.48
Marco Belinelli23240.73-0.230.960.2915-142914.014.5-0.5815.913.42.54
DeMar DeRozan72720.480.020.470.54-23-514.813.41.3413.515.1-1.60
LaMarcus Aldridge70700.300.200.100.71-1415-2915.512.03.5213.016.2-3.18
Lonnie Walker IV24240.090.41-0.320.23-56-1113.314.7-1.4113.414.2-0.78
Rudy Gay43450.050.45-0.40-0.2711-102113.015.5-2.5315.113.12.08
Trey Lyles2829-0.060.56-0.620.03-34-714.614.30.3315.213.51.68
Jakob Poeltl4342-0.090.59-0.68-0.1210114.114.6-0.4613.614.2-0.64
Bryn Forbes4243-0.300.80-1.100.08-1314-2715.913.42.4813.114.6-1.48
Dejounte Murray4545-0.430.93-1.360.10-1819-3715.713.42.3113.214.6-1.46

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terence Davis25270.10-0.600.700.013-4715.413.51.9513.214.8-1.62
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson40400.04-0.540.580.25-76-1314.913.31.6112.715.5-2.74
Matt Thomas3434-0.00-0.500.500.12-43-715.613.12.4712.915.2-2.30
Chris Boucher2120-0.01-0.490.490.08-32-513.614.1-0.5013.514.6-1.13
Oshae Brissett66-0.02-0.480.460.07-32-521.213.57.659.214.7-5.57
OG Anunoby6462-0.10-0.400.31-0.3910-112112.516.4-3.8215.213.12.17
Serge Ibaka6768-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.6912-132513.115.7-2.6515.412.33.12
Kyle Lowry8381-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.552-3513.615.7-2.1714.912.42.50
Patrick McCaw4142-0.530.03-0.56-0.00-1817-3515.912.73.1912.915.5-2.57
Pascal Siakam6261-0.540.04-0.58-0.726-71313.314.9-1.6115.512.72.74
Norman Powell6764-0.620.12-0.73-0.53-32-513.714.5-0.8715.013.51.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.96,0.89,0.72,0.57,0.42,0.34,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 101, NJN 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.27,091.1%
POR 97, NOH 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.04,090.9%
CHA 92, BOS 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.47,0.34,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,090.6%