inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 121 Excitement9.7 [107] MVPJames Johnson (MIA): +37.8%
New York Knicks 124 Comeback11.9 [50] LVPJimmy Butler (MIA): -11.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.38,0.380.180.190.007100%0.481-0.10580%0.01
Kendrick Nunn0.200,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.120.090.021567%0.2000.0000%0.00
Tyler Herro0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.12,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.070.12-0.001258%0.2000.002100%0.01
Duncan Robinson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.011050%0.111-0.052100%0.01
Meyers Leonard0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01387%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00775%0.165-0.15683%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.110.01-0.01743%0.035-0.1200%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0,-0.110.13-0.060.191561%0.061-0.171182%-0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Julius Randle0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.18,0.330.330.040.290.012154%0.392-0.06683%0.07
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.26,0.260.260.120.150.02687%0.291-0.034100%0.07
RJ Barrett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.190.190.190.080.081077%0.1900.001080%-0.03
Kevin Knox II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.04-0.00885%0.1800.00475%-0.00
Kadeem Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.04-0.00767%0.1100.001100%0.01
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.020.00267%0.0500.002100%0.02
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001650%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.011145%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mitchell Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.001100%0.043-0.1000%0.00
Damyean Dotson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.00713%-0.0700.0010%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.425.515.426.81.842.2141.2
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -22.2%
NYK +17.6%
NYK +12.1%
NYK +39.8%
NYK +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game15.514.614.2127.4129.2109.6
season14.714.5111.7105.4
opponent14.414.5111.9108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.515.615.614.515.5
NYK14.214.415.714.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duncan Robinson53550.23-0.730.960.056-91515.715.30.4715.813.02.77
Derrick Jones Jr.38390.11-0.610.72-0.014-71115.415.6-0.2213.915.2-1.29
Meyers Leonard4746-0.08-0.420.330.03-41-516.514.61.8614.914.40.49
James Johnson4143-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-30-314.916.0-1.1013.715.4-1.66
Jimmy Butler6968-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.491-4515.515.6-0.0715.412.72.66
Bam Adebayo7374-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.40-2-1-115.216.7-1.5615.113.11.94
Tyler Herro4445-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.07-1411-2516.214.91.3113.116.0-2.91
Kendrick Nunn6161-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-2115.515.6-0.1915.413.32.17
Goran Dragic4949-0.510.01-0.52-0.45-2-1-115.016.0-1.0013.216.2-3.01

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taj Gibson61610.78-0.281.050.3913-102315.712.82.9315.615.40.18
Elfrid Payton61600.56-0.060.620.5021116.012.33.6115.415.8-0.39
Reggie Bullock55550.53-0.030.560.5012-115.713.32.3915.615.40.26
RJ Barrett80780.480.020.470.4321115.112.13.0115.217.1-1.87
Julius Randle65640.450.050.410.51-25-715.812.23.5615.016.6-1.57
Kevin Knox II40410.000.50-0.50-0.114-1512.716.0-3.3215.915.20.66
Damyean Dotson1716-0.020.52-0.540.01-14-513.514.9-1.3415.815.50.34
Kadeem Allen3535-0.060.56-0.62-0.0912-112.316.0-3.6115.815.40.39
Bobby Portis3635-0.070.57-0.64-0.1012-112.515.9-3.4216.115.20.89
Mitchell Robinson3030-0.160.66-0.820.01-69-1512.515.6-3.0615.815.40.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.28,0.66,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 95, ATL 1030.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.73,191.8%
IND 88, SAC 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.4,0.19,0.46,0.69,0.74,191.6%
ORL 88, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.57,0.96,191.5%